Sport Picks

Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026

Match Events

74'

Keita M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Porreres play Baleares in the Segunda RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026. Baleares are favorites here. Recently, Porreres averaged 0.88 goals scored and 1.75 conceded. Baleares averaged 1.75 goals scored and 0.63 conceded. In past meetings, Porreres won 0, Baleares won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 19, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.76 for Porreres and 1.75 for Baleares. This points to a Baleares double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Porreres

Draws

90%

Baleares

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Baleares

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Baleares has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Porreres.
Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Baleares.
League standings and seasonal metrics in Segunda RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%

Porreres Clean Sheet 12%

Baleares Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Porreres	Baleares
Matches Played	29	31
Wins	5	17
Draws	7	8
Losses	17	6
Goals Scored	0.88	1.75
Goals Conceded	1.75	0.63
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.75	0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 3

Porreres vs Baleares

Possession: 59% - 46% Cards: 2 - 2

0:1

Dec 7, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 3

Baleares vs Porreres

Possession: 49% - 43% Cards: 2 - 1

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Porreres Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.44

Baleares Compare

Top Goalscorer Keita M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.59

Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Porreres 10 / 100

Baleares 95 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Porreres Baleares

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAL Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Porreres scored in 41% of their last 29 games.

Baleares let in goals in 58% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Porreres went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Baleares lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Porreres VS Baleares

0.88 Goals Scored 1.75

1.75 Goals Conceded 0.63

63% Over 1.5 50%

50% Over 2.5 38%

38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sant Andreu	34	20	6	8	51:33	66
2	Baleares	34	19	9	6	53:34	66
3	UD Poblense	34	16	11	7	41:28	59
4	Reus FC Reddis	34	16	7	11	50:38	55
5	Alcoyano	34	13	16	5	30:20	55
6	Barcelona B	34	14	10	10	62:40	52
7	Girona B	34	12	11	11	45:37	47
8	Terrassa	34	11	13	10	36:44	46
9	Valencia B	34	10	14	10	53:50	44
10	Espanyol B	34	10	14	10	34:35	44
11	UD Barbastro	34	10	13	11	32:31	43
12	Olot	34	10	12	12	31:32	42
13	Castellon B	34	11	9	14	59:72	42
14	SD Ibiza	34	10	10	14	35:44	40
15	Andratx	34	8	9	17	35:56	33
16	CE Atletic Lleida	34	6	12	16	37:51	30
17	Torrent	34	7	9	18	36:53	30
18	Porreres	34	6	9	19	22:44	27