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Porreres vs Penya Independent

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2024/2025
Sun, Jun 8, 2025
1 - 1
03:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

99' Event
Moreno C.
107' Event
Gonzalez Ayala P.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2024/2025 game between Porreres and Penya Independent finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Porreres
6%
Draws
90%
Penya Independent
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Penya Independent

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Penya Independent come out ahead of Porreres on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Penya Independent taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 15%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Porreres Clean Sheet 21%
Penya Independent Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Porreres Penya Independent
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 5 12
Draws 9 8
Losses 18 10
Goals Scored 0.25 0
Goals Conceded 1.25 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 8, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Porreres vs Penya Independent
1:1
May 31, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Penya Independent vs Porreres
0:0
Mar 1, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Penya Independent vs Porreres
3:2
Oct 20, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Porreres vs Penya Independent
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Porreres Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez Ayala P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.19
Avg xA / game 0.13

Penya Independent Compare

Top Goalscorer Moreno C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Porreres 10 / 100
Penya Independent 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Porreres Penya Independent

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PEN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Penya Independent let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.

Porreres scored in 44% of their last 32 games.

Recent resilience: Porreres stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Porreres VS -
0.25 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Formentera0
Porreres3
Constancia1
Penya Independent2
Final
Porreres1
Penya Independent1