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Port Adelaide Lion vs Eastern United

Australia Australia

SA State League 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Port Adelaide Lion play Eastern United in the SA State League 2022. It looks like a close match. Recently, Port Adelaide Lion averaged 2 goals scored and 2 conceded. Eastern United averaged 1.63 goals scored and 3.63 conceded. In past meetings, Port Adelaide Lion won 2, Eastern United won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 13, 2023 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.81 for Port Adelaide Lion and 1.81 for Eastern United. This points to a Eastern United double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Port Adelaide Lion
6%
Draws
90%
Eastern United
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Eastern United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Eastern United has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Port Adelaide Lion.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Eastern United.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in SA State League 2022 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 91%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 91%
Over 3.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 39%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Port Adelaide Lion Clean Sheet 11%
Eastern United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Port Adelaide Lion Eastern United
Matches Played 33 37
Wins 11 13
Draws 1 5
Losses 21 19
Goals Scored 2 1.63
Goals Conceded 2 3.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 3.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2023 SA State League
Port Adelaide Lion vs Eastern United
0:1
Feb 18, 2023 SA State League
Eastern United vs Port Adelaide Lion
3:5
Aug 6, 2022 SA State League
Port Adelaide Lion vs Eastern United
3:2
May 15, 2022 SA State League
Eastern United vs Port Adelaide Lion
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Port Adelaide Lion 10 / 100
Eastern United 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Port Adelaide Lion Eastern United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EAS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Port Adelaide Lion scored in 64% of their last 33 games.

Eastern United let in goals in 84% of their last 37 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Port Adelaide Lion went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Eastern United lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Port Adelaide Lion VS Eastern United
2 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 3.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
100% Over 3.5 75%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Modbury Jets22153475:3048
2West Adelaide22119247:2842
3Blue Eagles22124648:2940
4Para22124635:2840
5Adelaide Croatia Raiders22114745:3437
6Fulham United2296730:2833
7Playford Patriots22931031:4330
8Port Adelaide Lion22911231:5128
9Eastern United22741129:3825
10Adelaide Atletico2259821:2324
11Adelaide University SC22341521:5013
12Adelaide Hills Hawks22231720:519