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Port Adelaide Lion vs Eastern United

Australia Australia

SA State League 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Port Adelaide Lion in this SA State League 2022 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Port Adelaide Lion.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Port Adelaide Lion
15%
Draws
51%
Eastern United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Eastern United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Eastern United have won more games recently than Port Adelaide Lion.
  • Model gives Eastern United a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular SA State League 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Port Adelaide Lion Clean Sheet 20%
Eastern United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Port Adelaide Lion Eastern United
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 8 9
Draws 1 5
Losses 21 19
Goals Scored 1.27 1.24
Goals Conceded 2.7 2.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.98 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2023 SA State League
Port Adelaide Lion vs Eastern United
0:1
Feb 18, 2023 SA State League
Eastern United vs Port Adelaide Lion
3:5
Aug 6, 2022 SA State League
Port Adelaide Lion vs Eastern United
3:2
May 15, 2022 SA State League
Eastern United vs Port Adelaide Lion
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Port Adelaide Lion 24 / 100
Eastern United 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Port Adelaide Lion Eastern United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Eastern United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Eastern United conceded in 85% of 33 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Port Adelaide Lion scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Eastern United lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Eastern United
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 2.75
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Port Adelaide Lion

(Home)
12 Aug
Adelaide Atletico
2 : 2
Port Adelaide Lion
05 Aug
Port Adelaide Lion
2 : 4
West Torrens Birkalla
15 Jul
Port Adelaide Lion
0 : 4
Playford Patriots
08 Jul
Para
1 : 3
Port Adelaide Lion
01 Jul
Blue Eagles
2 : 1
Port Adelaide Lion
Page 1 of 6

Eastern United

(Away)
15 Aug
Blue Eagles
2 : 1
Eastern United
08 Aug
Eastern United
4 : 2
Adelaide Atletico
01 Aug
Fulham United
1 : 2
Eastern United
24 Jul
Eastern United
0 : 3
Salisbury United
18 Jul
Adelaide Croatia Raiders
3 : 0
Eastern United
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Modbury Jets 22 15 3 4 75:30 48
2 West Adelaide 22 11 9 2 47:28 42
3 Blue Eagles 22 12 4 6 48:29 40
4 Para 22 12 4 6 35:28 40
5 Adelaide Croatia Raiders 22 11 4 7 45:34 37
6 Fulham United 22 9 6 7 30:28 33
7 Playford Patriots 22 9 3 10 31:43 30
8 Port Adelaide Lion 22 9 1 12 31:51 28
9 Eastern United 22 7 4 11 29:38 25
10 Adelaide Atletico 22 5 9 8 21:23 24
11 Adelaide University SC 22 3 4 15 21:50 13
12 Adelaide Hills Hawks 22 2 3 17 20:51 9
Promotion - SA State League 2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - SA State League 2024 (Play Offs)