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Port Adelaide Lion vs Modbury Jets

Australia Australia

SA State League 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Modbury Jets in this SA State League 2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-10 — backing the pre-match view that favored Modbury Jets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Port Adelaide Lion
15%
Draws
64%
Modbury Jets
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Modbury Jets

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Port Adelaide Lion haven't matched Modbury Jets's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Modbury Jets a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Regular SA State League 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Port Adelaide Lion Clean Sheet 18%
Modbury Jets Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Port Adelaide Lion Modbury Jets
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 19
Draws 1 5
Losses 21 7
Goals Scored 1.27 2.55
Goals Conceded 2.7 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2022 SA State League
Port Adelaide Lion vs Modbury Jets
1:10
Apr 23, 2022 SA State League
Modbury Jets vs Port Adelaide Lion
5:2
May 23, 2015 NPL South Australia
Port Adelaide Lion vs Modbury Jets
2:2
Feb 13, 2015 NPL South Australia
Modbury Jets vs Port Adelaide Lion
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Port Adelaide Lion 10 / 100
Modbury Jets 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Port Adelaide Lion Modbury Jets

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Modbury Jets Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 6.50 goals when they meet.

Port Adelaide Lion scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Modbury Jets conceded in 58% of 31 recent games.

Port Adelaide Lion has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Modbury Jets
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Port Adelaide Lion

(Home)
12 Aug
Adelaide Atletico
2 : 2
Port Adelaide Lion
05 Aug
Port Adelaide Lion
2 : 4
West Torrens Birkalla
15 Jul
Port Adelaide Lion
0 : 4
Playford Patriots
08 Jul
Para
1 : 3
Port Adelaide Lion
01 Jul
Blue Eagles
2 : 1
Port Adelaide Lion
Page 1 of 6

Modbury Jets

(Away)
12 Sept
Adelaide Croatia Raiders
4 : 1
Modbury Jets
05 Sept
Modbury Jets
6 : 0
Adelaide Olympic
28 Aug
Adelaide Olympic
0 : 4
Modbury Jets
15 Aug
Cumberland United
0 : 1
Modbury Jets
08 Aug
Modbury Jets
4 : 0
Adelaide Cobras
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Modbury Jets 22 15 3 4 75:30 48
2 West Adelaide 22 11 9 2 47:28 42
3 Blue Eagles 22 12 4 6 48:29 40
4 Para 22 12 4 6 35:28 40
5 Adelaide Croatia Raiders 22 11 4 7 45:34 37
6 Fulham United 22 9 6 7 30:28 33
7 Playford Patriots 22 9 3 10 31:43 30
8 Port Adelaide Lion 22 9 1 12 31:51 28
9 Eastern United 22 7 4 11 29:38 25
10 Adelaide Atletico 22 5 9 8 21:23 24
11 Adelaide University SC 22 3 4 15 21:50 13
12 Adelaide Hills Hawks 22 2 3 17 20:51 9
Promotion - SA State League 2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - SA State League 2024 (Play Offs)