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Port Louis vs Grande Riviere

Mauritius Mauritius

Super League 2024/2025
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Match Events

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AI Match Summary

Port Louis host Grande Riviere in the Super League 2024/2025. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Port Louis have averaged 1.25 scored and 2.25 conceded recently, against Grande Riviere's 1 scored and 5 conceded. Head-to-head, Port Louis have won 1 to Grande Riviere's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on May 7, 2025, ending 3:3. The numbers (3.13 xG vs 1.63) point toward Port Louis. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Port Louis
6%
Draws
4%
Grande Riviere
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Port Louis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Port Louis has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Grande Riviere.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Port Louis.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Super League 2024/2025 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Port Louis Clean Sheet 14%
Grande Riviere Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Port Louis Grande Riviere
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 12 5
Draws 5 6
Losses 15 19
Goals Scored 1.25 1
Goals Conceded 2.25 5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 5.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2025 Super League
Port Louis vs Grande Riviere
3:3
Jan 19, 2025 Super League
Grande Riviere vs Port Louis
2:2
Jun 23, 2024 Super League
Port Louis vs Grande Riviere
2:0
Mar 3, 2024 Super League
Grande Riviere vs Port Louis
1:0
Feb 12, 2023 Super League
Grande Riviere vs Port Louis
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Port Louis 84 / 100
Grande Riviere 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Port Louis Grande Riviere

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Port Louis scored in 72% of their last 32 games.

Grande Riviere let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Port Louis went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Grande Riviere lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Port Louis VS Grande Riviere
1.25 Goals Scored 1
2.25 Goals Conceded 5
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 100%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cercle De Joachim18144035:646
2La Cure Waves18122440:1838
3Pamplemousses1893625:1830
4Petite Riviere1875621:1926
5Chebel Citizens1874726:2625
6AS Vacoas1864822:3022
7Port Louis1863921:2521
8PAS Mates1854918:2419
9Entente Boulet18441022:3416
10Grande Riviere18151220:508