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Port Melbourne Sharks vs Eltham Redbacks Prediction & H2H Stats

Australia Australia

Victoria Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

68' Event
Romas B.
76' Event
Dennett J.

AI Match Summary

The Victoria Premier League game between Port Melbourne Sharks and Eltham Redbacks finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Eltham Redbacks.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Port Melbourne Sharks
20%
Draws
51%
Eltham Redbacks
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Eltham Redbacks

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Port Melbourne Sharks haven't matched Eltham Redbacks's recent run of results.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Eltham Redbacks taking it.
  • Regular Victoria Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Port Melbourne Sharks Clean Sheet 10%
Eltham Redbacks Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Port Melbourne Sharks Eltham Redbacks
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 4 11
Draws 7 6
Losses 19 10
Goals Scored 0.6 2.15
Goals Conceded 2.3 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Victoria Premier League
Port Melbourne Sharks vs Eltham Redbacks
0:2
May 8, 2026 Victoria Premier League
Eltham Redbacks vs Port Melbourne Sharks
8:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Port Melbourne Sharks Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Eltham Redbacks Compare

Top Goalscorer Romas B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dennett J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Port Melbourne Sharks 14 / 100
Eltham Redbacks 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Port Melbourne Sharks Eltham Redbacks

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Eltham Redbacks Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Eltham Redbacks has conceded goals in 81% of their last 27 outings.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Port Melbourne Sharks's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Port Melbourne Sharks stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Port Melbourne Sharks VS Eltham Redbacks
0.63 Goals Scored 2.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Port Melbourne Sharks

(Home)
30 Aug
Melbourne Victory U21
4 : 0
Port Melbourne Sharks
22 Aug
Port Melbourne Sharks
0 : 2
Eltham Redbacks
15 Aug
Port Melbourne Sharks
1 : 1
Melbourne Knights
01 Aug
Manningham United Blues
0 : 1
Port Melbourne Sharks
25 Jul
Port Melbourne Sharks
1 : 3
Northcote City
Page 1 of 6

Eltham Redbacks

(Away)
11 Sept
Melbourne Victory U21
2 : 0
Eltham Redbacks
30 Aug
Eltham Redbacks
2 : 2
Melbourne Knights
22 Aug
Port Melbourne Sharks
0 : 2
Eltham Redbacks
14 Aug
Eltham Redbacks
5 : 0
Manningham United Blues
31 Jul
Northcote City
1 : 0
Eltham Redbacks
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Melbourne Knights 24 15 4 5 43:19 49
2 Brunswick Juventus 24 15 2 7 42:26 47
3 Melbourne Victory U21 24 13 4 7 55:32 43
4 Northcote City 24 13 4 7 38:27 43
5 Bulleen 24 12 6 6 44:30 42
6 Eltham Redbacks 24 10 6 8 53:37 36
7 Melbourne Srbija 24 11 3 10 27:25 36
8 Manningham United Blues 24 9 3 12 32:48 30
9 North Geelong Warriors 24 9 2 13 32:49 29
10 Brunswick City 24 8 3 13 40:49 27
11 Langwarrin 24 6 6 12 40:52 24
12 North Sunshine Eagles 24 5 5 14 29:38 20
13 Port Melbourne Sharks 24 4 4 16 12:55 16
14 Western United U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - NPL Victoria (Main)
Promotion - Victoria Premier League (Promotion - Play Offs)