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Port Melbourne Sharks vs Melbourne Srbija

Australia Australia

Victoria Premier League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Port Melbourne Sharks play Melbourne Srbija in the Victoria Premier League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Port Melbourne Sharks averaged 0.62 goals scored and 2.28 conceded. Melbourne Srbija averaged 1.48 goals scored and 1.14 conceded. In past meetings, Port Melbourne Sharks won 1, Melbourne Srbija won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 11, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.32 for Port Melbourne Sharks and 2.25 for Melbourne Srbija. This points to a Melbourne Srbija double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Port Melbourne Sharks
21%
Draws
53%
Melbourne Srbija
Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Melbourne Srbija

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence
  • Port Melbourne Sharks picked up more points recently compared to Melbourne Srbija.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.32 vs 2.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%
Over 1.5 Goals 76%
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%
Port Melbourne Sharks Clean Sheet 10%
Melbourne Srbija Clean Sheet 25%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Port Melbourne Sharks Melbourne Srbija
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 3 15
Draws 8 4
Losses 18 10
Goals Scored 0.62 1.48
Goals Conceded 2.28 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 0.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.00 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Victoria Premier League
Port Melbourne Sharks vs Melbourne Srbija
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Port Melbourne Sharks Compare

Top Goalscorer Legrand C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.19
Avg xA / game 0.13

Melbourne Srbija Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Port Melbourne Sharks 25 / 100
Melbourne Srbija 53 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Port Melbourne Sharks Melbourne Srbija

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Melbourne Srbija Win (2)
Secondary Pick Melbourne Srbija & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +44.6%
5.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.3%
2.08
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Port Melbourne Sharks attacking → ← attacking Melbourne Srbija

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Port Melbourne Sharks scored in 45% of their last 29 games.

Melbourne Srbija let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Port Melbourne Sharks went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Melbourne Srbija lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

17 Points in last 5 49
0.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
3.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Northcote City19123434:1939
2Melbourne Knights19122534:1638
3Brunswick Juventus19120735:2636
4Melbourne Victory U211993745:3230
5Bulleen1985632:2629
6Melbourne Srbija1892724:2129
7Eltham Redbacks1984745:3428
8North Geelong Warriors1891832:3428
9Manningham United Blues1982933:3826
10Western United U2119811038:4525
11Brunswick City19721035:4123
12Langwarrin1964933:4222
13North Sunshine Eagles19431223:3615
14Port Melbourne Sharks19241310:4310