Sport Picks
Port Melbourne Sharks vs Northcote City
Australia
Victoria Premier League 
Match Events
38'
38'
Serdenes G.
42'
42'
Taylor A.
53'
53'
AI Match Summary
The Victoria Premier League game between Port Melbourne Sharks and Northcote City finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Northcote City.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
4%
6%
90%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Northcote City
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Port Melbourne Sharks haven't matched Northcote City's recent run of results.
- 90% — that's where the model lands on Northcote City taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Port Melbourne Sharks Clean Sheet 10%
Northcote City Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Port Melbourne Sharks | Northcote City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 4 | 14 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 20 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.38 | 1.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.5 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.38 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.50 | 1.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 25, 2026 Victoria Premier League
Port Melbourne Sharks vs Northcote City
1:3
Apr 17, 2026 Victoria Premier League
Northcote City vs Port Melbourne Sharks
0:0
Aug 4, 2018 NPL Victoria
Port Melbourne Sharks vs Northcote City
2:2
May 5, 2018 NPL Victoria
Northcote City vs Port Melbourne Sharks
1:1
Jul 16, 2016 NPL Victoria
Northcote City vs Port Melbourne Sharks
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Port Melbourne Sharks Compare
Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19
Northcote City Compare
Top Goalscorer Serdenes G.
1 Goals Assists Leader Taylor A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Port Melbourne Sharks 10 / 100
Northcote City 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Port Melbourne Sharks Northcote City
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick NOR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Northcote City let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Attacking prowess: Port Melbourne Sharks scored in 47% of their last 30 outings.
Port Melbourne Sharks has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Port Melbourne Sharks VS Northcote City
0.38 Goals Scored 1.75
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Port Melbourne Sharks
(Home) 25 Jul
Port Melbourne Sharks
1 : 3 Northcote City
18 Jul
Melbourne Srbija
0 : 1 Port Melbourne Sharks
11 Jul
Port Melbourne Sharks
0 : 5 North Sunshine Eagles
04 Jul
North Geelong Warriors
1 : 1 Port Melbourne Sharks
19 Jun
Langwarrin
5 : 0 Port Melbourne Sharks
Page 1 of 6
25 Jul
Port Melbourne Sharks
1 : 3 Northcote City
11 Jul
Port Melbourne Sharks
0 : 5 North Sunshine Eagles
06 Jun
Port Melbourne Sharks
1 : 3 Brunswick City
23 May
Port Melbourne Sharks
0 : 2 Brunswick Juventus
16 May
Port Melbourne Sharks
1 : 3 Melbourne Victory U21
Page 1 of 3
Northcote City
(Away) 25 Jul
Port Melbourne Sharks
1 : 3 Northcote City
17 Jul
Northcote City
3 : 3 Manningham United Blues
10 Jul
Northcote City
0 : 1 Melbourne Knights
03 Jul
Northcote City
2 : 3 Melbourne Srbija
20 Jun
North Sunshine Eagles
0 : 2 Northcote City
Page 1 of 7
25 Jul
Port Melbourne Sharks
1 : 3 Northcote City
20 Jun
North Sunshine Eagles
0 : 2 Northcote City
13 Jun
North Geelong Warriors
2 : 1 Northcote City
31 May
Western United U21
1 : 2 Northcote City
08 May
Brunswick Juventus
1 : 0 Northcote City
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Melbourne Knights | 22 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 42:17 | 47 |
| 2 | Brunswick Juventus | 22 | 15 | 0 | 7 | 44:30 | 45 |
| 3 | Northcote City | 22 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 40:24 | 43 |
| 4 | Melbourne Victory U21 | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 50:35 | 34 |
| 5 | Bulleen | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 37:29 | 33 |
| 6 | Eltham Redbacks | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 49:38 | 32 |
| 7 | Melbourne Srbija | 21 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 26:23 | 32 |
| 8 | Manningham United Blues | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 38:46 | 30 |
| 9 | North Geelong Warriors | 21 | 9 | 1 | 11 | 33:42 | 28 |
| 10 | Brunswick City | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 41:44 | 27 |
| 11 | Western United U21 | 22 | 8 | 1 | 13 | 44:59 | 25 |
| 12 | Langwarrin | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 36:46 | 23 |
| 13 | North Sunshine Eagles | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 29:37 | 19 |
| 14 | Port Melbourne Sharks | 22 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 12:51 | 13 |
Promotion - NPL Victoria (Main)
Promotion - Victoria Premier League (Promotion - Play Offs)
