Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Port MTI FC vs Ayutthaya United

Thailand Thailand

League Cup PAT Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Fandi I.
40' Event
Lins M.
76' Event
Kasemkulwirai K.

AI Match Summary

The League Cup game between Port MTI FC and Ayutthaya United finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Port MTI FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Port MTI FC
6%
Draws
4%
Ayutthaya United
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Port MTI FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Ayutthaya United haven't matched Port MTI FC's recent run of results.
  • Port MTI FC are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Cup games in League Cup usually bring a different intensity than the league.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Port MTI FC have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Port MTI FC Clean Sheet 68%
Ayutthaya United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Port MTI FC Ayutthaya United
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 20 12
Draws 5 4
Losses 4 14
Goals Scored 2.63 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.63 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Thai League 1
Ayutthaya United vs Port MTI FC
1:4
Jan 28, 2026 League Cup
Port MTI FC vs Ayutthaya United
2:1
Aug 17, 2025 Thai League 1
Port MTI FC vs Ayutthaya United
3:1
Nov 30, 2022 Thai FA Cup
Port MTI FC vs Ayutthaya United
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Port MTI FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Fandi I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lins M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Ayutthaya United Compare

Top Goalscorer Kasemkulwirai K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Port MTI FC 95 / 100
Ayutthaya United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Port MTI FC Ayutthaya United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Port MTI FC scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.75 goals when they meet.

Port MTI FC has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Ayutthaya United lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Port MTI FC VS Ayutthaya United
2.63 Goals Scored 0.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Pattani2
Ratchaburi0
Nakhon Pathom0
Uthai Thani2
Thonburi United0
Buriram United F.C.4
Samut Sakhon City0
Prachuap2
Bangkok FC0
Muang Thong Utd4
Uttaradit FC0
Pathum United4
Mahasarakham2
Rayong FC1
Lopburi City1
Nakhon Ratchasima FC2
Satun FC0
Lamphun Warrior2
Nong Bua Pitchaya1
Chonburi5
Thap Luang United1
Chiangrai Utd0
Customs Utd2
Sukhothai3
Chainat Hornbill0
Port MTI FC5
Bankhai United0
Ayutthaya United1
Khonkaen United1
Kanchanaburi0
Pattaya United0
Bangkok Utd3
1/8-finals
Pattani2
Uthai Thani1
Buriram United F.C.3
Prachuap2
Muang Thong Utd0
Pathum United2
Mahasarakham2
Nakhon Ratchasima FC0
Lamphun Warrior0
Chonburi3
Thap Luang United1
Sukhothai0
Port MTI FC2
Ayutthaya United1
Khonkaen United3
Bangkok Utd2
Quarter-finals
Pattani0
Buriram United F.C.3
Pathum United3
Mahasarakham0
Chonburi1
Thap Luang United0
Port MTI FC7
Khonkaen United0
Semi-finals
Buriram United F.C.0
Pathum United1
Chonburi3
Port MTI FC4
Final
Pathum United0
Port MTI FC1