Sport Picks
Port MTI FC vs Buriram United F.C.
Thailand
Thai League 1 2025/2026 PAT Stadium, Bangkok 
Match Events
4'
4'
Kanitsribampen W.
Assist: Kaka Mendes
18'
18'
Walsh S.
22'
22'
Leonardo Kalil
Assist: Lins M.
AI Match Summary
Port MTI FC in this Thai League 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Port MTI FC.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
30%
34%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Port MTI FC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
66%
/ Medium Confidence
- Port MTI FC haven't matched Buriram United F.C.'s recent run of results.
- Port MTI FC are the model's pick here, at 36%.
- Regular Thai League 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Port MTI FC Clean Sheet 20%
Buriram United F.C. Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Port MTI FC | Buriram United F.C. |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 31 |
| Wins | 18 | 22 |
| Draws | 5 | 3 |
| Losses | 4 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.25 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.25 | 1.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 2, 2026 Thai League 1
Port MTI FC vs Buriram United F.C.
3:1
Dec 14, 2025 Thai League 1
Buriram United F.C. vs Port MTI FC
1:0
Feb 2, 2025 Thai League 1
Buriram United F.C. vs Port MTI FC
0:1
Sep 12, 2024 Thai League 1
Port MTI FC vs Buriram United F.C.
0:0
May 12, 2024 Thai League 1
Buriram United F.C. vs Port MTI FC
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Port MTI FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Kanitsribampen W.
1 Goals Assists Leader Leonardo Kalil
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Buriram United F.C. Compare
Top Goalscorer Zulj P.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Port MTI FC 36 / 100
Buriram United F.C. 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Port MTI FC Buriram United F.C.
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Port MTI FC scored in 81% of their last 27 games.
Port MTI FC went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.
Buriram United F.C. let in goals in 55% of their last 31 matches.
Scoring Trends
Port MTI FC VS Buriram United F.C.
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
0.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
25% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Port MTI FC
(Home) 24 May
Pathum United
0 : 1 Port MTI FC
10 May
Ayutthaya United
1 : 4 Port MTI FC
02 May
Port MTI FC
3 : 1 Buriram United F.C.
25 Apr
Uthai Thani
0 : 1 Port MTI FC
19 Apr
Port MTI FC
0 : 0 Pathum United
Page 1 of 6
02 May
Port MTI FC
3 : 1 Buriram United F.C.
19 Apr
Port MTI FC
0 : 0 Pathum United
04 Apr
Port MTI FC
3 : 0 Prachuap
18 Mar
Port MTI FC
7 : 0 Khonkaen United
06 Mar
Port MTI FC
3 : 0 Lamphun Warrior
Page 1 of 3
Buriram United F.C.
(Away) 31 May
Buriram United F.C.
1 : 0 Prachuap
27 May
Buriram United F.C.
2 : 1 Selangor
20 May
Selangor
0 : 1 Buriram United F.C.
17 May
Buriram United F.C.
5 : 0 Ayutthaya United
13 May
Buriram United F.C.
1 : 2 Johor DT
Page 1 of 7
20 May
Selangor
0 : 1 Buriram United F.C.
06 May
Johor DT
1 : 3 Buriram United F.C.
02 May
Port MTI FC
3 : 1 Buriram United F.C.
29 Apr
Rayong FC
3 : 0 Buriram United F.C.
26 Apr
Kanchanaburi
1 : 3 Buriram United F.C.
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Buriram United F.C. | 30 | 22 | 4 | 4 | 76:31 | 70 |
| 2 | Port MTI FC | 30 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 59:23 | 60 |
| 3 | Ratchaburi | 30 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 55:30 | 59 |
| 4 | Pathum United | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 45:29 | 52 |
| 5 | Bangkok Utd | 30 | 13 | 11 | 6 | 43:32 | 50 |
| 6 | Prachuap | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 39:37 | 45 |
| 7 | Chiangrai Utd | 30 | 9 | 13 | 8 | 36:37 | 40 |
| 8 | Chonburi | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 38:41 | 39 |
| 9 | Rayong FC | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 44:49 | 37 |
| 10 | Ayutthaya United | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 34:50 | 32 |
| 11 | Uthai Thani | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 39:44 | 31 |
| 12 | Lamphun Warrior | 30 | 4 | 17 | 9 | 35:47 | 29 |
| 13 | Sukhothai | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 23:42 | 28 |
| 14 | Muang Thong Utd | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 27:52 | 26 |
| 15 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 20:44 | 24 |
| 16 | Kanchanaburi | 30 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 29:54 | 23 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - Thai League 2 (Main)