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Port MTI FC vs Chonburi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 1 PAT Stadium, Bangkok
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Port MTI FC host Chonburi in the Thai League 1. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Chonburi have shipped 1.55 goals a game lately, while Port MTI FC have conceded 1.29 and scored 2.23. Past meetings favor Port MTI FC slightly — 4-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 8, 2026, ending 3:4. The numbers (1.75 xG vs 1.37) point toward Port MTI FC. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Port MTI FC
15%
Draws
0%
Chonburi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Port MTI FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Port MTI FC have won more games recently than Chonburi.
  • Win probability leans Port MTI FC's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Port MTI FC have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Port MTI FC Clean Sheet 17%
Chonburi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Port MTI FC Chonburi
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 19 11
Draws 4 4
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 2.23 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.37
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2026 League Cup
Chonburi vs Port MTI FC
3:4
Jan 31, 2026 Thai League 1
Chonburi vs Port MTI FC
3:2
Sep 19, 2025 Thai League 1
Port MTI FC vs Chonburi
3:0
Feb 5, 2025 League Cup
Chonburi vs Port MTI FC
0:4
May 5, 2024 Thai League 1
Port MTI FC vs Chonburi
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Port MTI FC 84 / 100
Chonburi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Port MTI FC Chonburi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Port MTI FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Port MTI FC scored in 94% of their last 31 games.

Chonburi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Chonburi lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Port MTI FC VS Chonburi
1.5 Goals Scored 0.86
1.88 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 57%
100% Over 2.5 57%
25% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Port MTI FC

(Home)
21 Oct
Rasisalai United
1 : 3
Port MTI FC
18 Oct
Bangkok Utd
0 : 2
Port MTI FC
14 Oct
Kashiwa Reysol
5 : 1
Port MTI FC
11 Oct
Port MTI FC
3 : 2
Pattani
08 Oct
Port MTI FC
1 : 3
Persib Bandung
Page 1 of 7

Chonburi

(Away)
20 Oct
Chonburi
2 : 5
Pattaya City
17 Oct
Chonburi
1 : 2
Prachuap
11 Oct
Sisaket United
2 : 1
Chonburi
20 Sept
Chonburi
0 : 1
Buriram United F.C.
13 Sept
Chonburi
2 : 3
Rayong FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Buriram United F.C. 5 4 1 0 9:4 13
2 Prachuap 5 4 0 1 8:3 12
3 Port MTI FC 5 4 0 1 10:6 12
4 Ratchaburi 5 3 1 1 11:4 10
5 Uthai Thani 5 3 1 1 12:7 10
6 Bangkok Utd 5 3 0 2 8:6 9
7 Rayong FC 5 2 2 1 8:7 8
8 Ayutthaya United 5 2 1 2 5:6 7
9 Sisaket United 5 2 1 2 5:6 7
10 Pathum United 5 1 3 1 7:7 6
11 Sukhothai 5 2 0 3 8:12 6
12 Chiangrai Utd 5 1 1 3 4:6 4
13 Lamphun Warrior 5 1 1 3 5:9 4
14 Pattani 5 1 1 3 4:8 4
15 Rasisalai United 5 0 1 4 7:15 1
16 Chonburi 5 0 0 5 4:9 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Thai League 2 2027/2028 (Main)