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Port MTI FC vs Lamphun Warrior - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 1 PAT Stadium, Bangkok
Port MTI FC Logo

Port MTI FC

2 - 1
FT
Lamphun Warrior Logo

Lamphun Warrior

Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Al Sabhi I.
(Penalty)
15'
Sub
Bureerat S. In: Wongchai C.
Out: Bureerat S.
45'
Akkratum P.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Thai League 1 game between Port MTI FC and Lamphun Warrior finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Port MTI FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Port MTI FC
20%
Draws
20%
Lamphun Warrior
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Port MTI FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Port MTI FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Port MTI FC taking it.
  • Regular Thai League 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Port MTI FC Clean Sheet 20%
Lamphun Warrior Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Port MTI FC Lamphun Warrior
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 18 7
Draws 5 14
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 2.17 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.58 0.85
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2026 Thai League 1
Port MTI FC vs Lamphun Warrior
2:1
Mar 6, 2026 Thai League 1
Port MTI FC vs Lamphun Warrior
3:0
Nov 2, 2025 Thai League 1
Lamphun Warrior vs Port MTI FC
0:2
Apr 16, 2025 League Cup
Lamphun Warrior vs Port MTI FC
2:0
Mar 30, 2025 Thai League 1
Lamphun Warrior vs Port MTI FC
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Port MTI FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Poeiphimai T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.22
Avg xA / game 0.79

Lamphun Warrior Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodrigo Maranhao
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.47

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Port MTI FC 67 / 100
Lamphun Warrior 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Port MTI FC Lamphun Warrior

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Port MTI FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Port MTI FC's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Lamphun Warrior conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Lamphun Warrior lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Port MTI FC VS Lamphun Warrior
1.88 Goals Scored 0.57
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.29
88% Over 1.5 57%
75% Over 2.5 29%
25% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Port MTI FC

(Home)
08 Oct
Port MTI FC
1 : 3
Persib Bandung
20 Sept
Sukhothai
2 : 1
Port MTI FC
16 Sept
Port MTI FC
1 : 2
Vissel Kobe
11 Sept
Port MTI FC
2 : 1
Lamphun Warrior
05 Sept
Rasisalai United
1 : 2
Port MTI FC
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Lamphun Warrior

(Away)
19 Sept
Rasisalai United
1 : 1
Lamphun Warrior
11 Sept
Port MTI FC
2 : 1
Lamphun Warrior
06 Sept
Lamphun Warrior
1 : 4
Uthai Thani
17 May
Prachuap
1 : 0
Lamphun Warrior
10 May
Buriram United F.C.
1 : 1
Lamphun Warrior
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Buriram United F.C. 4 3 1 0 8:4 10
2 Uthai Thani 4 3 0 1 11:6 9
3 Ratchaburi 4 2 1 1 9:3 7
4 Rayong FC 4 2 1 1 7:6 7
5 Ayutthaya United 4 2 1 1 5:4 7
6 Prachuap 3 2 0 1 4:1 6
7 Bangkok Utd 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
8 Port MTI FC 3 2 0 1 5:4 6
9 Pathum United 4 1 2 1 6:6 5
10 Chiangrai Utd 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
11 Pattani 3 1 1 1 2:4 4
12 Sisaket United 3 1 0 2 2:4 3
13 Sukhothai 4 1 0 3 3:11 3
14 Rasisalai United 4 0 1 3 6:10 1
15 Lamphun Warrior 3 0 1 2 3:7 1
16 Chonburi 3 0 0 3 2:5 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Thai League 2 2027/2028 (Main)