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Port MTI FC vs Ratchaburi

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 1 PAT Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Port MTI FC play Ratchaburi in the Thai League 1. It looks like a close match. Recently, Port MTI FC averaged 2.63 goals scored and 0.75 conceded. Ratchaburi averaged 1.75 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. In past meetings, Port MTI FC won 1, Ratchaburi won 1, and they drew 3. Their last match on Jan 24, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.06 for Port MTI FC and 1.25 for Ratchaburi. This points to a Port MTI FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Port MTI FC
40%
Draws
29%
Ratchaburi
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Port MTI FC has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Ratchaburi.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 40% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Thai League 1 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Port MTI FC Clean Sheet 19%
Ratchaburi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Port MTI FC Ratchaburi
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 21 15
Draws 5 5
Losses 4 10
Goals Scored 2.63 1.75
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2026 Thai League 1
Port MTI FC vs Ratchaburi
2:1
Sep 13, 2025 Thai League 1
Ratchaburi vs Port MTI FC
1:0
Jan 24, 2025 Thai League 1
Port MTI FC vs Ratchaburi
3:3
Sep 1, 2024 Thai League 1
Ratchaburi vs Port MTI FC
2:2
May 19, 2024 Thai League 1
Ratchaburi vs Port MTI FC
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Port MTI FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Kaka Mendes
1 Goals
Assists Leader Perea B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Ratchaburi Compare

Top Goalscorer Gleyson
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Port MTI FC 32 / 100
Ratchaburi 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Port MTI FC Ratchaburi

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Port MTI FC scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Ratchaburi let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Port MTI FC went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Ratchaburi lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Port MTI FC VS Ratchaburi
2.63 Goals Scored 1.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Buriram United F.C.30224476:3170
2Port MTI FC30186659:2360
3Ratchaburi30185755:3059
4Pathum United301410645:2952
5Bangkok Utd301311643:3250
6Prachuap301112739:3745
7Chiangrai Utd30913836:3740
8Chonburi301091138:4139
9Rayong FC309101144:4937
10Ayutthaya United30881434:5032
11Uthai Thani307101339:4431
12Lamphun Warrior30417935:4729
13Sukhothai306101423:4228
14Muang Thong Utd30681627:5226
15Nakhon Ratchasima FC30661820:4424
16Kanchanaburi304111529:5423