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Port MTI FC vs Rayong FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 1 PAT Stadium, Bangkok
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Port MTI FC host Rayong FC in the Thai League 1. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Port MTI FC have averaged 2.17 scored and 1.17 conceded recently, against Rayong FC's 1.5 scored and 1.64 conceded. Past meetings favor Port MTI FC slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 18, 2026, ending 5:2. Model xG sits at 1.65 vs 1.06, favoring Port MTI FC. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Port MTI FC
20%
Draws
46%
Rayong FC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rayong FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Port MTI FC lately — more wins on the board than Rayong FC.
  • Model gives Rayong FC a 46% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Port MTI FC Clean Sheet 20%
Rayong FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Port MTI FC Rayong FC
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 18 9
Draws 5 8
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 2.17 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.65 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 Thai League 1
Rayong FC vs Port MTI FC
5:2
Aug 30, 2025 Thai League 1
Port MTI FC vs Rayong FC
1:1
Apr 30, 2025 Thai League 1
Port MTI FC vs Rayong FC
4:1
Aug 10, 2024 Thai League 1
Rayong FC vs Port MTI FC
1:3
Feb 28, 2021 Thai League 1
Port MTI FC vs Rayong FC
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Port MTI FC 28 / 100
Rayong FC 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Port MTI FC Rayong FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rayong FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Port MTI FC scored in 93% of their last 30 games.

Rayong FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Port MTI FC stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Port MTI FC VS Rayong FC
1.88 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.43
88% Over 1.5 57%
75% Over 2.5 29%
25% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Port MTI FC

(Home)
08 Oct
Port MTI FC
1 : 3
Persib Bandung
20 Sept
Sukhothai
2 : 1
Port MTI FC
16 Sept
Port MTI FC
1 : 2
Vissel Kobe
11 Sept
Port MTI FC
2 : 1
Lamphun Warrior
05 Sept
Rasisalai United
1 : 2
Port MTI FC
Page 1 of 6

Rayong FC

(Away)
20 Sept
Rayong FC
1 : 1
Ratchaburi
13 Sept
Chonburi
2 : 3
Rayong FC
05 Sept
Rayong FC
1 : 0
Prachuap
10 May
Rayong FC
1 : 1
Bangkok Utd
03 May
Ratchaburi
6 : 1
Rayong FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ratchaburi 4 2 1 1 9:3 7
2 Buriram United F.C. 3 2 1 0 5:2 7
3 Rayong FC 3 2 1 0 5:3 7
4 Uthai Thani 3 2 0 1 7:4 6
5 Prachuap 3 2 0 1 4:1 6
6 Bangkok Utd 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
7 Port MTI FC 3 2 0 1 5:4 6
8 Ayutthaya United 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
9 Pathum United 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
10 Chiangrai Utd 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
11 Pattani 3 1 1 1 2:4 4
12 Sisaket United 3 1 0 2 2:4 3
13 Sukhothai 4 1 0 3 3:11 3
14 Rasisalai United 3 0 1 2 4:6 1
15 Lamphun Warrior 3 0 1 2 3:7 1
16 Chonburi 3 0 0 3 2:5 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Thai League 2 2027/2028 (Main)