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Port Talbot vs Garden Village

Wales Wales

Division 1
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Hughes D.
13' Event
Giardelli A.
21' Event
Giardelli A.

AI Match Summary

Port Talbot play Garden Village in the Division 1. Garden Village are favorites here. Recently, Port Talbot averaged 0.13 goals scored and 3.13 conceded. Garden Village averaged 3 goals scored and 3.5 conceded. In past meetings, Port Talbot won 1, Garden Village won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jan 18, 2020 ended 0:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.81 for Port Talbot and 3.06 for Garden Village. This points to a Garden Village double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Port Talbot
39%
Draws
31%
Garden Village
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Garden Village has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Port Talbot.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Division 1 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Port Talbot Clean Sheet 10%
Garden Village Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Port Talbot Garden Village
Matches Played 39 20
Wins 7 9
Draws 4 3
Losses 28 8
Goals Scored 0.13 3
Goals Conceded 3.13 3.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.13 3.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.13 3.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2020 Division 1
Port Talbot vs Garden Village
0:4
Oct 5, 2019 Division 1
Garden Village vs Port Talbot
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Port Talbot Compare

Avg xG / game 0.1
Avg xA / game 0.07

Garden Village Compare

Top Goalscorer Hughes D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Giardelli A.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.73
Avg xA / game 1.67

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Port Talbot 29 / 100
Garden Village 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Port Talbot Garden Village

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Port Talbot scored in 49% of their last 39 games.

Garden Village let in goals in 85% of their last 20 matches.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Port Talbot went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Garden Village lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Port Talbot VS Garden Village
0.13 Goals Scored 3
3.13 Goals Conceded 3.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 100%