Sport Picks
Match Events
5'
5'
Paton R.
8'
8'
Paton R.
Assist: John K.
46'
46'
Sub
Yoganathan V. In: Phillips A.
Out: Yoganathan V.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 5-0, with Port Vale advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
15%
45%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Barnsley
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Port Vale come out ahead of Barnsley on wins alone.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Port Vale have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Barnsley, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Port Vale Clean Sheet 20%
Barnsley Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Port Vale | Barnsley |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 10 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 12 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 1.4 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1.47 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 14, 2026 League One
Port Vale vs Barnsley
0:0
Dec 2, 2025 EFL Trophy
Port Vale vs Barnsley
5:0
Sep 27, 2025 League One
Barnsley vs Port Vale
0:2
Nov 2, 2024 FA Cup
Port Vale vs Barnsley
1:3
Dec 26, 2023 League One
Port Vale vs Barnsley
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Port Vale Compare
Top Goalscorer Paton R.
2 Goals Assists Leader Brown D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Barnsley Compare
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Port Vale 32 / 100
Barnsley 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Port Vale Barnsley
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Barnsley Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Barnsley's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.
H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.
Port Vale has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Port Vale's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Port Vale VS Barnsley
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Port Vale
(Home) 15 Aug
Oldham
2 : 0 Port Vale
07 Aug
Wolves
3 : 0 Port Vale
01 Aug
Blackpool
0 : 1 Port Vale
25 Jul
Port Vale
1 : 0 Murcia
18 Jul
Wigan
1 : 3 Port Vale
Page 1 of 6
25 Jul
Port Vale
1 : 0 Murcia
14 Jul
Port Vale
5 : 0 Tamworth
02 May
Port Vale
0 : 2 Lincoln City
19 Apr
Port Vale
0 : 0 Wigan
14 Apr
Port Vale
0 : 0 Barnsley
Page 1 of 3
Barnsley
(Away) 15 Aug
Barnsley
0 : 1 Bromley
08 Aug
Barnsley
2 : 1 Wigan
02 Aug
Guiseley
1 : 1 Barnsley
01 Aug
Barnsley
3 : 0 Lincoln City
25 Jul
Scarborough Athletic
0 : 2 Barnsley
Page 1 of 6
02 Aug
Guiseley
1 : 1 Barnsley
25 Jul
Scarborough Athletic
0 : 2 Barnsley
18 Jul
Blackburn
3 : 0 Barnsley
11 Jul
York City
2 : 1 Barnsley
04 Jul
Matlock
0 : 2 Barnsley
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Lincoln City 0
Huddersfield 2
Salford 2
Rotherham 7
Doncaster 5
Chesterfield 1
Tranmere 0
Fleetwood Town 3
Bolton 3
Bradford City 0
Port Vale 5
Barnsley 0
Crewe 1
Stockport County 2
Harrogate 4
Blackpool 2
Luton 4
Exeter 0
Swindon 1
Peterborough 0
Bristol Rovers 3
Cambridge Utd 2
Leyton Orient 0
Plymouth 1
Cardiff 1
AFC Wimbledon 5
Colchester 0
West Ham U21 1
Northampton 2
Wycombe 0
Stevenage 1
Walsall 2
1/8-finals
Huddersfield 3
Rotherham 0
Doncaster 3
Fleetwood Town 1
Bolton 0
Port Vale 1
Stockport County 2
Harrogate 1
Luton 1
Swindon 2
Bristol Rovers 3
Plymouth 4
AFC Wimbledon 4
West Ham U21 2
Northampton 4
Walsall 2
Quarter-finals
Huddersfield 1
Doncaster 2
Port Vale 0
Stockport County 4
Luton 2
Plymouth 1
AFC Wimbledon 1
Northampton 2
Semi-finals
Doncaster 0
Stockport County 1
Luton 2
Northampton 1
Final
Stockport County 1
Luton 3
