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Port Vale vs Crewe - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

League Two Vale Park, Stoke on Trent
Our Tip

Match Events

63'
Sub
Garrity B. In: Croasdale R.
Out: Garrity B.
69'
Sub
Waine B. In: Simpson T.
Out: Waine B.
70'
Sub
Lynch O. In: Headley J.
Out: Lynch O.

AI Match Summary

The League Two game between Port Vale and Crewe finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Port Vale
15%
Draws
40%
Crewe
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Port Vale

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Port Vale have managed 0.93 goals a game lately — Crewe are scoring more at 1.39.
  • Model gives Port Vale a 45% chance of winning this.
  • Regular League Two form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Port Vale Clean Sheet 68%
Crewe Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Port Vale Crewe
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 11
Draws 5 9
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 0.93 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 League Two
Port Vale vs Crewe
0:0
Mar 29, 2025 League Two
Crewe vs Port Vale
0:1
Nov 25, 2024 League Two
Port Vale vs Crewe
1:1
Sep 5, 2023 EFL Trophy
Port Vale vs Crewe
1:0
Aug 29, 2023 EFL Cup
Port Vale vs Crewe
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Port Vale 59 / 100
Crewe 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Port Vale Crewe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Port Vale Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Crewe let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Port Vale went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Port Vale scored in 57% of their last 28 games.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Port Vale VS Crewe
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Port Vale

(Home)
20 Oct
Gillingham
1 : 1
Port Vale
17 Oct
Port Vale
1 : 0
Chesterfield
10 Oct
Port Vale
1 : 0
Grimsby
06 Oct
Port Vale
2 : 0
Mansfield
22 Sept
Chesterfield
2 : 1
Port Vale
Page 1 of 6

Crewe

(Away)
20 Oct
Exeter
2 : 0
Crewe
17 Oct
Crewe
3 : 2
Rochdale
10 Oct
Swindon
0 : 1
Crewe
06 Oct
Blackpool
3 : 2
Crewe
03 Oct
Crewe
3 : 1
Bristol Rovers
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Salford 12 8 1 3 19:12 25
2 Barnet 10 6 3 1 23:15 21
3 Crewe 12 5 6 1 15:11 21
4 Walsall 11 4 7 0 16:7 19
5 Cheltenham 12 5 3 4 21:22 18
6 York City 11 4 5 2 19:13 17
7 Gillingham 12 4 5 3 17:14 17
8 Shrewsbury 12 5 2 5 13:17 17
9 Chesterfield 12 4 4 4 18:16 16
10 Exeter 12 4 4 4 8:6 16
11 Accrington 12 3 6 3 17:16 15
12 Newport 12 3 6 3 16:15 15
13 Tranmere 12 3 6 3 15:15 15
14 Rochdale 12 4 3 5 15:17 15
15 Swindon 12 4 3 5 13:16 15
16 Bristol Rovers 12 5 0 7 16:20 15
17 Grimsby 12 3 5 4 15:15 14
18 Fleetwood Town 12 3 5 4 14:15 14
19 Colchester 11 2 6 3 11:14 12
20 Port Vale 10 3 3 4 6:10 12
21 Oldham 11 3 2 6 13:17 11
22 Rotherham 12 2 5 5 14:20 11
23 Northampton 10 2 4 4 6:8 10
24 Crawley Town 10 1 2 7 11:20 5
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League 2027/2028 (Main)