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Port Vale vs Lincoln City

England England

League One 2025/2026 Vale Park
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
House B.
Assist: Moylan J.
20'
Darikwa T.
22'
McGrandles C.

AI Match Summary

The League One 2025/2026 game between Port Vale and Lincoln City finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lincoln City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Port Vale
39%
Draws
30%
Lincoln City
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lincoln City come out ahead of Port Vale on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Lincoln City have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Port Vale Clean Sheet 10%
Lincoln City Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Port Vale Lincoln City
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 12 23
Draws 6 6
Losses 13 0
Goals Scored 0.63 2
Goals Conceded 1.88 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 League One
Port Vale vs Lincoln City
0:2
Nov 29, 2025 League One
Lincoln City vs Port Vale
1:0
Feb 24, 2024 League One
Port Vale vs Lincoln City
0:2
Nov 11, 2023 League One
Lincoln City vs Port Vale
1:1
Apr 15, 2023 League One
Lincoln City vs Port Vale
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Port Vale Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Lincoln City Compare

Top Goalscorer House B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Street R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Port Vale 30 / 100
Lincoln City 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Port Vale Lincoln City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LIN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:7
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Port Vale found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (31 games).

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Lincoln City let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.

Port Vale has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Port Vale VS Lincoln City
0.63 Goals Scored 2
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lincoln City463110589:41103
2Cardiff462710990:5091
3Stockport County4622111371:5877
4Bradford City4622111358:5177
5Bolton461918970:5275
6Stevenage4621121349:4675
7Luton4621111468:5674
8Plymouth462271775:6373
9Huddersfield4618131574:6467
10Mansfield4616171362:5065
11Wycombe4617121769:5863
12Reading4616151564:6063
13Blackpool461792054:6560
14Doncaster461792050:6960
15Barnsley4615141768:7359
16Wigan4614141849:5856
17Burton4613151850:6054
18Peterborough461582364:6853
19AFC Wimbledon461582351:7253
20Leyton Orient4614102259:7152
21Exeter4612132152:6149
22Port Vale4610122436:6142
23Rotherham4610112541:7141
24Northampton46982939:7435