Sport Picks
Match Events
2'
2'
Hernandez O.
Assist: Dempsey K.
11'
11'
Byers G.
(Penalty)
15'
15'
Gilmour H.
AI Match Summary
The League Two game between Port Vale and Rochdale finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Port Vale.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
20%
23%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Port Vale
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Port Vale come out ahead of Rochdale on wins alone.
- Port Vale are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular League Two form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Port Vale Clean Sheet 68%
Rochdale Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Port Vale | Rochdale |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 10 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 10 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.34 | 1.48 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 2.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.44 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 31, 2026 League Two
Port Vale vs Rochdale
4:2
Jul 23, 2022 Club Friendly
Rochdale vs Port Vale
2:3
Feb 22, 2022 League Two
Rochdale vs Port Vale
1:1
Oct 5, 2021 EFL Trophy
Port Vale vs Rochdale
1:0
Sep 4, 2021 League Two
Port Vale vs Rochdale
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Port Vale Compare
Top Goalscorer Hernandez O.
1 Goals Assists Leader Lawrence-Gabriel J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22
Rochdale Compare
Top Goalscorer Henderson I.
1 Goals Assists Leader Tasker C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Port Vale 95 / 100
Rochdale 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Port Vale Rochdale
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Port Vale Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Rochdale's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.
Port Vale found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).
Port Vale went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Port Vale VS Rochdale
2.25 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Port Vale
(Home) 07 Nov
Port Vale
4 : 2 Scunthorpe
31 Oct
Port Vale
4 : 2 Rochdale
27 Oct
Port Vale
5 : 0 Manchester City U21
24 Oct
York City
2 : 0 Port Vale
20 Oct
Gillingham
1 : 1 Port Vale
Page 1 of 6
07 Nov
Port Vale
4 : 2 Scunthorpe
31 Oct
Port Vale
4 : 2 Rochdale
27 Oct
Port Vale
5 : 0 Manchester City U21
17 Oct
Port Vale
1 : 0 Chesterfield
10 Oct
Port Vale
1 : 0 Grimsby
Page 1 of 3
Rochdale
(Away) 07 Nov
Fleetwood Town
1 : 2 Rochdale
03 Nov
Rochdale
1 : 4 Doncaster
31 Oct
Port Vale
4 : 2 Rochdale
24 Oct
Rochdale
0 : 5 Accrington
20 Oct
Rochdale
2 : 2 Grimsby
Page 1 of 6
07 Nov
Fleetwood Town
1 : 2 Rochdale
31 Oct
Port Vale
4 : 2 Rochdale
17 Oct
Crewe
3 : 2 Rochdale
10 Oct
Tranmere
1 : 1 Rochdale
06 Oct
Huddersfield
5 : 0 Rochdale
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 25:15 | 31 |
| 2 | Barnet | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 28:18 | 26 |
| 3 | Walsall | 13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 21:12 | 22 |
| 4 | Crewe | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 17:17 | 22 |
| 5 | Cheltenham | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 23:25 | 21 |
| 6 | Grimsby | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 24:18 | 20 |
| 7 | York City | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 24:21 | 20 |
| 8 | Gillingham | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 20:19 | 20 |
| 9 | Accrington | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 23:17 | 19 |
| 10 | Chesterfield | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 24:21 | 19 |
| 11 | Tranmere | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 19:17 | 19 |
| 12 | Exeter | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 11:9 | 19 |
| 13 | Swindon | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15:17 | 19 |
| 14 | Newport | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 20:17 | 18 |
| 15 | Shrewsbury | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 17:22 | 18 |
| 16 | Fleetwood Town | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 18:18 | 17 |
| 17 | Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 17:23 | 16 |
| 18 | Oldham | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 15:19 | 15 |
| 19 | Port Vale | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 10:14 | 15 |
| 20 | Rochdale | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 17:26 | 15 |
| 21 | Northampton | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 9:10 | 14 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 18:25 | 12 |
| 23 | Colchester | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 12:19 | 12 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13:21 | 9 |
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
