Sport Picks
Match Events
6'
6'
Croasdale R.
57'
57'
Croasdale R.
61'
61'
Sub
Sherif M. In: Waine B.
Out: Sherif M.
AI Match Summary
The League One 2025/2026 game between Port Vale and Rotherham finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Port Vale.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
30%
29%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Port Vale
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Port Vale carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Port Vale's way, sitting at 36%.
- Regular League One 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and Rotherham have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 30%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Port Vale Clean Sheet 20%
Rotherham Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Port Vale | Rotherham |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 6 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 12 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 0.93 | 0.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.34 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 7, 2026 League One
Port Vale vs Rotherham
1:0
Aug 2, 2025 League One
Rotherham vs Port Vale
2:1
Aug 10, 2022 EFL Cup
Port Vale vs Rotherham
1:2
Nov 30, 2021 EFL Trophy
Rotherham vs Port Vale
2:1
Apr 21, 2014 League One
Rotherham vs Port Vale
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Port Vale Compare
Top Goalscorer Croasdale R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Rotherham Compare
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Port Vale 36 / 100
Rotherham 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Port Vale Rotherham
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Rotherham has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.
Port Vale went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Port Vale found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).
Scoring Trends
Port Vale VS Rotherham
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Port Vale
(Home) 22 Aug
Port Vale
1 : 1 Tranmere
15 Aug
Oldham
2 : 0 Port Vale
07 Aug
Wolves
3 : 0 Port Vale
01 Aug
Blackpool
0 : 1 Port Vale
25 Jul
Port Vale
1 : 0 Murcia
Page 1 of 6
22 Aug
Port Vale
1 : 1 Tranmere
25 Jul
Port Vale
1 : 0 Murcia
14 Jul
Port Vale
5 : 0 Tamworth
02 May
Port Vale
0 : 2 Lincoln City
19 Apr
Port Vale
0 : 0 Wigan
Page 1 of 3
Rotherham
(Away) 22 Aug
Rotherham
1 : 1 York City
15 Aug
Cheltenham
2 : 1 Rotherham
08 Aug
Rotherham
1 : 4 West Brom
04 Aug
Rotherham
1 : 1 Derby
28 Jul
Darlington FC
0 : 2 Rotherham
Page 1 of 6
15 Aug
Cheltenham
2 : 1 Rotherham
28 Jul
Darlington FC
0 : 2 Rotherham
21 Jul
Alfreton
0 : 1 Rotherham
18 Jul
Matlock
1 : 1 Rotherham
14 Jul
AFC Emley
1 : 1 Rotherham
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lincoln City | 46 | 31 | 10 | 5 | 89:41 | 103 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 46 | 27 | 10 | 9 | 90:50 | 91 |
| 3 | Stockport County | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 71:58 | 77 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 58:51 | 77 |
| 5 | Bolton | 46 | 19 | 18 | 9 | 70:52 | 75 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 49:46 | 75 |
| 7 | Luton | 46 | 21 | 11 | 14 | 68:56 | 74 |
| 8 | Plymouth | 46 | 22 | 7 | 17 | 75:63 | 73 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 46 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 74:64 | 67 |
| 10 | Mansfield | 46 | 16 | 17 | 13 | 62:50 | 65 |
| 11 | Wycombe | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 69:58 | 63 |
| 12 | Reading | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 64:60 | 63 |
| 13 | Blackpool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 54:65 | 60 |
| 14 | Doncaster | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 50:69 | 60 |
| 15 | Barnsley | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 68:73 | 59 |
| 16 | Wigan | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 49:58 | 56 |
| 17 | Burton | 46 | 13 | 15 | 18 | 50:60 | 54 |
| 18 | Peterborough | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 64:68 | 53 |
| 19 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 51:72 | 53 |
| 20 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 59:71 | 52 |
| 21 | Exeter | 46 | 12 | 13 | 21 | 52:61 | 49 |
| 22 | Port Vale | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 36:61 | 42 |
| 23 | Rotherham | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41:71 | 41 |
| 24 | Northampton | 46 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 39:74 | 35 |
Promotion - Championship (Main)
Promotion - League One 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two (Main)
