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Port Vale vs Scunthorpe - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England

FA Cup Vale Park, Stoke on Trent

Scunthorpe

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the FA Cup. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Port Vale have averaged 1.21 scored and 1.17 conceded recently, against Scunthorpe's 1.79 scored and 1.69 conceded. Head-to-head, Port Vale have won 3 to Scunthorpe's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Jan 29, 2022, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.75 - 1.25) back Port Vale to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%

Port Vale

15%

Draws

20%

Scunthorpe

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Port Vale

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence

Port Vale carry the better recent record into this one.
Model gives Port Vale a 65% chance of winning this.
Port Vale have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Scunthorpe, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 38%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%

Port Vale Clean Sheet 19%

Scunthorpe Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Port Vale	Scunthorpe
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	13	11
Draws	5	3
Losses	11	15
Goals Scored	1.21	1.79
Goals Conceded	1.17	1.69
Expected Goals (xG)	1.75	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 29, 2022 League Two

Port Vale vs Scunthorpe

1:0

Sep 25, 2021 League Two

Scunthorpe vs Port Vale

0:1

Jan 26, 2021 League Two

Scunthorpe vs Port Vale

2:0

Nov 17, 2020 League Two

Port Vale vs Scunthorpe

0:1

Sep 5, 2020 EFL Cup

Scunthorpe vs Port Vale

1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Port Vale 85 / 100

Scunthorpe 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Port Vale Scunthorpe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Port Vale Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Scunthorpe conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Port Vale scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Port Vale has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Port Vale VS Scunthorpe

1.38 Goals Scored 1.63

0.88 Goals Conceded 2.13

75% Over 1.5 88%

25% Over 2.5 75%

13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Port Vale

(Home)

31 Oct

Port Vale

4 : 2

Rochdale

27 Oct

Port Vale

5 : 0

Manchester City U21

24 Oct

York City

2 : 0

Port Vale

20 Oct

Gillingham

1 : 1

Port Vale

17 Oct

Port Vale

1 : 0

Chesterfield

Page 1 of 6

Scunthorpe

(Away)

03 Nov

Scunthorpe

2 : 3

Wolves U21

31 Oct

Boston United

2 : 1

Scunthorpe

27 Oct

Tamworth

4 : 1

Scunthorpe

24 Oct

Scunthorpe

2 : 3

Woking

17 Oct

Boston United

1 : 3

Scunthorpe

Page 1 of 6

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Port Vale vs Scunthorpe - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England

Port Vale

Scunthorpe

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Port Vale

Scunthorpe

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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