Sport Picks
Port Vale vs Stockport County Prediction & H2H Stats
England
EFL Trophy 2025/2026 Vale Park, Stoke on Trent 
Match Events
27'
27'
Edun T.
36'
36'
Sidibeh A.
Assist: Mothersille M.
46'
46'
Sub
Gordon L. In: Headley J.
Out: Gordon L.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 0-4, with Stockport County advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
26%
15%
59%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Stockport County
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Stockport County carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Stockport County a 59% chance of winning this.
- Stockport County arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Stockport County, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Port Vale Clean Sheet 16%
Stockport County Clean Sheet 18%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Port Vale | Stockport County |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 11 | 16 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 13 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 0.93 | 2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.32 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 28, 2026 League One
Stockport County vs Port Vale
1:2
Feb 10, 2026 EFL Trophy
Port Vale vs Stockport County
0:4
Oct 27, 2025 League One
Port Vale vs Stockport County
0:3
Aug 30, 2022 EFL Trophy
Port Vale vs Stockport County
1:0
Apr 23, 2011 League Two
Port Vale vs Stockport County
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Port Vale Compare
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41
Stockport County Compare
Top Goalscorer Sidibeh A.
2 Goals Assists Leader Norwood O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Port Vale 19 / 100
Stockport County 58 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Port Vale Stockport County
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Stockport County Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Stockport County let in goals in 61% of their last 28 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Attacking prowess: Port Vale scored in 57% of their last 28 outings.
Solid form: Port Vale remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Port Vale VS Stockport County
0.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Port Vale
(Home) 22 Sept
Chesterfield
2 : 1 Port Vale
19 Sept
Walsall
2 : 0 Port Vale
12 Sept
Port Vale
1 : 0 Exeter
05 Sept
Salford
1 : 0 Port Vale
01 Sept
Swindon
3 : 1 Port Vale
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Port Vale
1 : 0 Exeter
29 Aug
Port Vale
0 : 0 Crewe
22 Aug
Port Vale
1 : 1 Tranmere
25 Jul
Port Vale
1 : 0 Murcia
14 Jul
Port Vale
5 : 0 Tamworth
Page 1 of 3
Stockport County
(Away) 26 Sept
Stockport County
1 : 0 Peterborough
19 Sept
Sheffield Wed
0 : 0 Stockport County
12 Sept
Stockport County
3 : 4 Leicester
05 Sept
Wigan
0 : 4 Stockport County
02 Sept
Luton
2 : 0 Stockport County
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Sheffield Wed
0 : 0 Stockport County
05 Sept
Wigan
0 : 4 Stockport County
02 Sept
Luton
2 : 0 Stockport County
15 Aug
Plymouth
1 : 3 Stockport County
28 Jul
Oldham
0 : 1 Stockport County
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Lincoln City 0
Huddersfield 2
Salford 2
Rotherham 7
Doncaster 5
Chesterfield 1
Tranmere 0
Fleetwood Town 3
Bolton 3
Bradford City 0
Port Vale 5
Barnsley 0
Crewe 1
Stockport County 2
Harrogate 4
Blackpool 2
Luton 4
Exeter 0
Swindon 1
Peterborough 0
Bristol Rovers 3
Cambridge Utd 2
Leyton Orient 0
Plymouth 1
Cardiff 1
AFC Wimbledon 5
Colchester 0
West Ham U21 1
Northampton 2
Wycombe 0
Stevenage 1
Walsall 2
1/8-finals
Huddersfield 3
Rotherham 0
Doncaster 3
Fleetwood Town 1
Bolton 0
Port Vale 1
Stockport County 2
Harrogate 1
Luton 1
Swindon 2
Bristol Rovers 3
Plymouth 4
AFC Wimbledon 4
West Ham U21 2
Northampton 4
Walsall 2
Quarter-finals
Huddersfield 1
Doncaster 2
Port Vale 0
Stockport County 4
Luton 2
Plymouth 1
AFC Wimbledon 1
Northampton 2
Semi-finals
Doncaster 0
Stockport County 1
Luton 2
Northampton 1
Final
Stockport County 1
Luton 3
