Sport Picks
Match Events
38'
38'
Montgomery D.
43'
43'
Fyfe E.
54'
54'
Mayse R.
AI Match Summary
Portadown in this Irish League Cup 2023/2024 tie, finishing 4-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Coagh Utd
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Coagh Utd lately — more wins on the board than Portadown.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Coagh Utd arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Portadown, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Portadown Clean Sheet 17%
Coagh Utd Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Portadown | Coagh Utd |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 12 |
| Draws | 5 | 3 |
| Losses | 14 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.64 | 1.73 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.68 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.54 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 3, 2023 Irish League Cup
Portadown vs Coagh Utd
4:1
Mar 14, 2009 NIFL Championship
Portadown vs Coagh Utd
1:1
Oct 4, 2008 NIFL Championship
Coagh Utd vs Portadown
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Portadown Compare
Top Goalscorer Montgomery D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Fyfe E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77
Coagh Utd Compare
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Portadown 31 / 100
Coagh Utd 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Portadown Coagh Utd
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Coagh Utd has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.
These sides typically produce 3.33 goals when they meet.
Portadown scored in 68% of their last 28 games.
Difficult form: Coagh Utd registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Portadown VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Portadown
(Home) 05 Sept
Cliftonville
3 : 1 Portadown
28 Aug
Portadown
0 : 3 Coleraine
22 Aug
Crusaders
3 : 2 Portadown
15 Aug
Portadown
0 : 1 Dungannon
08 Aug
Carrick Rangers
1 : 0 Portadown
Page 1 of 6
28 Aug
Portadown
0 : 3 Coleraine
15 Aug
Portadown
0 : 1 Dungannon
07 Apr
Portadown
1 : 1 Carrick Rangers
21 Mar
Portadown
0 : 0 Crusaders
04 Mar
Portadown
0 : 2 Cliftonville
Page 1 of 2
Coagh Utd
(Away) 07 Oct
Cliftonville
4 : 1 Coagh Utd
12 Aug
Ballyclare
1 : 2 Coagh Utd
13 Aug
Rathfriland Rangers
2 : 1 Coagh Utd
27 Jul
Coagh Utd
1 : 1 Ballymena
03 Oct
Portadown
4 : 1 Coagh Utd
Page 1 of 6
07 Oct
Cliftonville
4 : 1 Coagh Utd
12 Aug
Ballyclare
1 : 2 Coagh Utd
13 Aug
Rathfriland Rangers
2 : 1 Coagh Utd
03 Oct
Portadown
4 : 1 Coagh Utd
19 Aug
Banbridge
0 : 1 Coagh Utd
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Ballymena -
TBD -
Ballymacash 1
Lisburn Distillery 4
Coleraine -
TBD -
TBD -
Bangor FC -
Limavady 6
Tobermore 1
TBD -
Dundela -
Glenavon -
TBD -
TBD -
Dergview -
Portadown -
TBD -
Banbridge 0
Coagh Utd 1
Warrenpoint -
TBD -
TBD -
Crusaders -
Annagh -
TBD -
Portstewart 2
Rathfriland Rangers 1
Loughgall -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballyclare -
Dungannon -
TBD -
TBD -
Newington FC -
Cliftonville -
TBD -
TBD -
Institute -
Carrick Rangers -
TBD -
Moyola 1
PSNI 0
Harland & Wolff -
TBD -
TBD -
Newry City -
Ballinamallard -
TBD -
TBD -
Ards -
Larne -
TBD -
TBD -
Knockbreda -
Dollingstown 2
Armagh 1
TBD -
Glentoran -
Linfield -
TBD -
TBD -
Queens University -
1/16-finals
Ballymena 4
Lisburn Distillery 0
Coleraine 2
Bangor FC 1
Limavady 2
Dundela 0
Glenavon 2
Dergview 1
Portadown 4
Coagh Utd 1
Warrenpoint 0
Crusaders 5
Annagh 4
Portstewart 1
Loughgall 3
Ballyclare 2
Dungannon 3
Newington FC 1
Cliftonville 3
Institute 0
Carrick Rangers 4
Moyola 1
Harland & Wolff 1
Newry City 2
Ballinamallard 1
Ards 5
Larne 9
Knockbreda 1
Dollingstown 0
Glentoran 2
Linfield 3
Queens University 1
1/8-finals
Ballymena 1
Coleraine 2
Limavady 0
Glenavon 1
Portadown 2
Crusaders 1
Annagh 0
Loughgall 1
Dungannon 1
Cliftonville 0
Carrick Rangers 2
Newry City 3
Ards 3
Larne 5
Glentoran 1
Linfield 2
Quarter-finals
Coleraine 2
Glenavon 3
Portadown 2
Loughgall 0
Dungannon 4
Newry City 2
Larne 2
Linfield 3
Semi-finals
Glenavon 0
Portadown 1
Dungannon 1
Linfield 2
Final
Portadown 1
Linfield 3
