Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Portadown vs Crusaders

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Premiership 2025/2026 Shamrock Park, Portadown
Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Sub
Ukek J. In: Tetteh G.
Out: Ukek J.
23'
Minzamba R.
32'
Towe A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this NIFL Premiership 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Portadown
30%
Draws
34%
Crusaders
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Portadown

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Portadown average 2 goals a game right now, well clear of Crusaders's 1.88.
  • Model gives Portadown a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Portadown Clean Sheet 15%
Crusaders Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portadown Crusaders
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 11 11
Draws 5 6
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 2 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Crusaders vs Portadown
4:0
Mar 21, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Portadown vs Crusaders
0:0
Dec 6, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Crusaders vs Portadown
0:4
Aug 29, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Portadown vs Crusaders
2:1
Jan 25, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Crusaders vs Portadown
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portadown 35 / 100
Crusaders 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portadown Crusaders

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Portadown scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Crusaders has conceded goals in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Portadown has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Portadown VS Crusaders
2 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Portadown

(Home)
25 Jul
Kilbarrack Utd
0 : 3
Portadown
21 Jul
Harland & Wolff
0 : 2
Portadown
18 Jul
Coleraine
3 : 0
Portadown
07 Jul
Bourneview Mill
2 : 2
Portadown
07 Jul
Killyleagh Youth
3 : 2
Portadown
Page 1 of 6

Crusaders

(Away)
25 Jul
Moyola
2 : 1
Crusaders
21 Jul
Crusaders
2 : 0
Glenavon
18 Jul
Crusaders
0 : 0
Ballinamallard
11 Jul
Crusaders
2 : 0
Warrenpoint
04 Jul
Queen of the South
1 : 2
Crusaders
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Larne33227460:2273
2Glentoran33216663:3069
3Coleraine33205862:3165
4Linfield33188756:2462
5Cliftonville331381249:4847
6Dungannon331511740:5846
7Carrick Rangers331271449:5143
8Bangor FC331061738:5736
9Portadown331131936:5736
10Ballymena33971739:5034
11Crusaders33752138:7226
12Glenavon33812433:6325
Promotion - NIFL Premiership 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
Relegation - NIFL Premiership 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)