Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Portadown vs Donegal

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish League Cup 2016/2017 Shamrock Park, Portadown
Portadown Logo

Portadown

6 - 1
FT
Donegal Logo

Donegal

Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Henderson N.
28' Event
Shannon B.
30' Event
Kirwan E.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Portadown in this Irish League Cup 2016/2017 tie, finishing 6-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Portadown
15%
Draws
0%
Donegal
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Portadown

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Donegal haven't matched Portadown's recent run of results.
  • Portadown are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Portadown have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Portadown, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Portadown have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Portadown Clean Sheet 20%
Donegal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portadown Donegal
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 14 2
Draws 7 3
Losses 14 25
Goals Scored 1.83 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.51 3.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2016 Irish League Cup
Portadown vs Donegal
6:1
Apr 20, 2013 NIFL Premiership
Donegal vs Portadown
1:2
Jan 5, 2013 NIFL Premiership
Portadown vs Donegal
1:0
Oct 20, 2012 NIFL Premiership
Portadown vs Donegal
1:0
Aug 18, 2012 NIFL Premiership
Donegal vs Portadown
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portadown Compare

Top Goalscorer Henderson N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Shannon B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Donegal Compare

Top Goalscorer Conlon T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portadown 85 / 100
Donegal 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portadown Donegal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Portadown Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Donegal conceded in 97% of 29 recent games.

Donegal's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Portadown found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (35 games).

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Portadown VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Portadown

(Home)
26 Sept
Ballymena
2 : 0
Portadown
19 Sept
Bangor FC
3 : 1
Portadown
15 Sept
Portadown
1 : 1
Linfield
12 Sept
Portadown
0 : 2
Larne
05 Sept
Cliftonville
3 : 1
Portadown
Page 1 of 7

Donegal

(Away)
17 Aug
Crewe
:
Donegal
30 Sept
Crumlin United
2 : 0
Donegal
29 Aug
Glenavon
5 : 1
Donegal
30 Aug
Portadown
6 : 1
Donegal
20 Aug
Donegal
1 : 3
Oxford Stars
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Ballymena -
TBD -
TBD -
Newington FC -
Larne -
TBD -
TBD -
Linfield -
Ards -
TBD -
TBD -
Newry City -
Banbridge 1
PSNI 0
TBD -
Warrenpoint -
Crusaders -
TBD -
TBD -
Loughgall -
Donegal -
TBD -
TBD -
Portadown -
Knockbreda -
TBD -
Bangor FC 1
Lurgan Celtic 2
Limavady 2
Queens University 1
TBD -
Coleraine -
Glenavon -
TBD -
TBD -
Tobermore -
Institute 3
Moyola 1
TBD -
Harland & Wolff -
Annagh -
TBD -
TBD -
Glentoran -
Lisburn Distillery -
TBD -
TBD -
Cliftonville -
Dungannon -
TBD -
TBD -
Sport & Leisure -
Dundela -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballinamallard -
Armagh -
TBD -
TBD -
Dergview -
Ballyclare -
TBD -
TBD -
Carrick Rangers -
1/16-finals
Ballymena 4
Newington FC 1
Larne 0
Linfield 5
Ards 3
Newry City 1
Banbridge 2
Warrenpoint 4
Crusaders 3
Loughgall 1
Donegal 1
Portadown 6
Knockbreda 4
Lurgan Celtic 3
Limavady 0
Coleraine 3
Glenavon 5
Tobermore 0
Institute 0
Harland & Wolff 2
Annagh 3
Glentoran 2
Lisburn Distillery 1
Cliftonville 11
Dungannon 6
Sport & Leisure 2
Dundela 0
Ballinamallard 3
Armagh 3
Dergview 1
Ballyclare 0
Carrick Rangers 2
1/8-finals
Ballymena 4
Linfield 1
Ards 2
Warrenpoint 4
Crusaders 4
Portadown 3
Knockbreda 0
Coleraine 3
Glenavon 4
Harland & Wolff 2
Annagh 0
Cliftonville 6
Dungannon 6
Ballinamallard 1
Armagh 0
Carrick Rangers 2
Quarter-finals
Ballymena 2
Warrenpoint 0
Crusaders 1
Coleraine 2
Glenavon 3
Cliftonville 2
Dungannon 0
Carrick Rangers 2
Semi-finals
Ballymena 3
Coleraine 0
Glenavon 0
Carrick Rangers 1
Final
Ballymena 2
Carrick Rangers 0