Sport Picks

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Portadown vs Glentoran

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Premiership Shamrock Park, Portadown
Fri, Oct 9, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Portadown host Glentoran in the NIFL Premiership. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Portadown have averaged 1.5 scored and 1.68 conceded recently, against Glentoran's 1.87 scored and 1.3 conceded. Head-to-head, Portadown have won 1 to Glentoran's 4, with 0 draws. They last met on Dec 30, 2025, ending 2:1. The numbers (0.94 xG vs 1.75) point toward Glentoran. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Portadown
20%
Draws
70%
Glentoran
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Glentoran

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Glentoran have won more games recently than Portadown.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Glentoran taking it.
  • Regular NIFL Premiership form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Glentoran have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Portadown Clean Sheet 12%
Glentoran Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portadown Glentoran
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 8 12
Draws 6 6
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.5 1.87
Goals Conceded 1.68 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 30, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Glentoran vs Portadown
2:1
Oct 31, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Glentoran vs Portadown
2:1
Aug 9, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Portadown vs Glentoran
0:1
Dec 30, 2024 NIFL Premiership
Portadown vs Glentoran
0:2
Nov 16, 2024 NIFL Premiership
Glentoran vs Portadown
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portadown 11 / 100
Glentoran 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portadown Glentoran

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Glentoran Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Portadown scored in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Glentoran conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Portadown went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Portadown VS Glentoran
0.63 Goals Scored 1.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Portadown

(Home)
26 Sept
Ballymena
2 : 0
Portadown
19 Sept
Bangor FC
3 : 1
Portadown
15 Sept
Portadown
1 : 1
Linfield
12 Sept
Portadown
0 : 2
Larne
05 Sept
Cliftonville
3 : 1
Portadown
Page 1 of 6

Glentoran

(Away)
26 Sept
Glentoran
2 : 0
Carrick Rangers
19 Sept
Cliftonville
1 : 2
Glentoran
15 Sept
Glentoran
1 : 2
Coleraine
12 Sept
Glentoran
1 : 1
Bangor FC
04 Sept
Larne
2 : 1
Glentoran
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coleraine 9 7 1 1 19:8 22
2 Linfield 9 7 1 1 12:6 22
3 Larne 6 5 1 0 12:3 16
4 Crusaders 9 5 0 4 15:14 15
5 Glentoran 9 4 1 4 13:10 13
6 Dungannon 8 4 1 3 9:8 13
7 Cliftonville 9 4 0 5 12:11 12
8 Carrick Rangers 9 3 1 5 11:15 10
9 Ballymena 8 2 3 3 12:11 9
10 Limavady 8 3 0 5 7:11 9
11 Bangor FC 9 1 2 6 8:19 5
12 Portadown 9 0 1 8 5:19 1
Promotion - NIFL Premiership (Championship Group)
Relegation - NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group)