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Portadown vs Larne - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Premiership Shamrock Park, Portadown
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Cosgrove T.
9'
Sub
Traynor A. In: Carson M.
Out: Traynor A.
15'
MacKinnon L.

AI Match Summary

Larne in this NIFL Premiership matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Larne.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Portadown
20%
Draws
51%
Larne
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Larne

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Larne lately — more wins on the board than Portadown.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Larne have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Portadown Clean Sheet 10%
Larne Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portadown Larne
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 16
Draws 6 5
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1.54 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 30, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Larne vs Portadown
1:0
Sep 12, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Portadown vs Larne
0:2
Feb 14, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Portadown vs Larne
2:1
Nov 7, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Larne vs Portadown
3:0
Aug 22, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Larne vs Portadown
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portadown Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Larne Compare

Top Goalscorer Cosgrove T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Graham S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portadown 34 / 100
Larne 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portadown Larne

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Larne Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Portadown scored in 61% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Larne has conceded goals in 48% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Portadown stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Portadown VS Larne
0.88 Goals Scored 2.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Portadown

(Home)
30 Oct
Larne
1 : 0
Portadown
23 Oct
Portadown
1 : 2
Linfield
20 Oct
Portadown
0 : 2
Cliftonville
17 Oct
Cliftonville
1 : 2
Portadown
09 Oct
Portadown
0 : 0
Glentoran
Page 1 of 6

Larne

(Away)
30 Oct
Larne
1 : 0
Portadown
27 Oct
Larne
1 : 1
Limavady
24 Oct
Bangor FC
1 : 2
Larne
20 Oct
Larne
1 : 2
Linfield
16 Oct
Larne
2 : 3
Coleraine
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coleraine 14 11 2 1 32:13 35
2 Linfield 14 10 3 1 21:11 33
3 Larne 12 8 2 2 22:10 26
4 Glentoran 13 6 3 4 17:11 21
5 Cliftonville 14 6 0 8 23:17 18
6 Carrick Rangers 14 5 3 6 23:27 18
7 Crusaders 14 6 0 8 20:29 18
8 Ballymena 12 4 3 5 17:16 15
9 Dungannon 13 4 3 6 13:18 15
10 Limavady 14 4 2 8 14:23 14
11 Bangor FC 14 2 3 9 12:26 9
12 Portadown 14 2 2 10 11:24 8
Promotion - NIFL Premiership (Championship Group)
Relegation - NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group)