Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Portadown vs Larne

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Premiership Shamrock Park, Portadown
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Cosgrove T.
9'
Sub
Traynor A. In: Carson M.
Out: Traynor A.
15'
MacKinnon L.

AI Match Summary

Larne in this NIFL Premiership matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Larne.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Portadown
15%
Draws
85%
Larne
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Larne

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Larne lately — more wins on the board than Portadown.
  • Win probability leans Larne's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Larne have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Portadown Clean Sheet 20%
Larne Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portadown Larne
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 10 18
Draws 5 5
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 1.52 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.65 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Portadown vs Larne
0:2
Feb 14, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Portadown vs Larne
2:1
Nov 7, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Larne vs Portadown
3:0
Aug 22, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Larne vs Portadown
4:0
Jul 1, 2025 Club Friendly
Larne vs Portadown
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portadown Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Larne Compare

Top Goalscorer Cosgrove T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Graham S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portadown 10 / 100
Larne 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portadown Larne

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Larne Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Portadown scored in 65% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Larne has conceded goals in 48% of their last 31 outings.

Larne's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Portadown VS Larne
0.38 Goals Scored 0.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Portadown

(Home)
12 Sept
Portadown
0 : 2
Larne
05 Sept
Cliftonville
3 : 1
Portadown
28 Aug
Portadown
0 : 3
Coleraine
22 Aug
Crusaders
3 : 2
Portadown
15 Aug
Portadown
0 : 1
Dungannon
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Larne

(Away)
12 Sept
Portadown
0 : 2
Larne
08 Sept
Larne
1 : 0
Bangor FC
04 Sept
Larne
2 : 1
Glentoran
27 Aug
Larne
0 : 3
Lincoln Red Imps
20 Aug
Lincoln Red Imps
0 : 2
Larne
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coleraine 6 5 1 0 15:4 16
2 Linfield 6 5 0 1 7:4 15
3 Cliftonville 6 4 0 2 11:6 12
4 Dungannon 6 4 0 2 8:4 12
5 Larne 4 3 1 0 5:1 10
6 Carrick Rangers 6 3 0 3 8:7 9
7 Crusaders 6 3 0 3 10:12 9
8 Glentoran 6 2 1 3 8:7 7
9 Ballymena 5 1 1 3 8:9 4
10 Limavady 5 1 0 4 3:9 3
11 Bangor FC 6 0 2 4 3:13 2
12 Portadown 6 0 0 6 3:13 0
Promotion - NIFL Premiership (Championship Group)
Relegation - NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group)