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Portadown vs Limavady

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Premiership Shamrock Park, Portadown
Sat, Oct 3, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Portadown host Limavady in the NIFL Premiership. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Portadown at 1.48 goals for, 1.72 against; Limavady at 1.29 for, 0.89 against. Head-to-head, Portadown have won 2 to Limavady's 0, with 3 draws. They last met on Jan 8, 2022, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 1.63 vs 1.38, favoring Limavady. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Portadown
15%
Draws
73%
Limavady
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Limavady

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Limavady come out ahead of Portadown on wins alone.
  • Limavady are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular NIFL Premiership form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Portadown Clean Sheet 17%
Limavady Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portadown Limavady
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 14
Draws 6 4
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.48 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.72 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 8, 2022 Irish Cup
Portadown vs Limavady
2:0
Nov 24, 2018 NIFL Championship
Limavady vs Portadown
2:2
Sep 7, 2018 NIFL Championship
Portadown vs Limavady
2:2
Jan 13, 2018 NIFL Championship
Limavady vs Portadown
1:1
Aug 19, 2017 NIFL Championship
Portadown vs Limavady
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portadown 20 / 100
Limavady 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portadown Limavady

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Limavady Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portadown scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Limavady conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Limavady has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Portadown VS Limavady
2 Goals Scored 0.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Portadown

(Home)
19 Sept
Bangor FC
3 : 1
Portadown
15 Sept
Portadown
1 : 1
Linfield
12 Sept
Portadown
0 : 2
Larne
05 Sept
Cliftonville
3 : 1
Portadown
28 Aug
Portadown
0 : 3
Coleraine
Page 1 of 6

Limavady

(Away)
19 Sept
Coleraine
1 : 0
Limavady
15 Sept
Limavady
3 : 1
Bangor FC
12 Sept
Crusaders
1 : 2
Limavady
05 Sept
Limavady
0 : 2
Dungannon
29 Aug
Limavady
0 : 2
Linfield
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coleraine 8 7 1 0 18:5 22
2 Linfield 8 6 1 1 9:5 19
3 Larne 6 5 1 0 12:3 16
4 Dungannon 8 4 1 3 9:8 13
5 Cliftonville 8 4 0 4 12:10 12
6 Crusaders 8 4 0 4 13:13 12
7 Glentoran 8 3 1 4 11:10 10
8 Carrick Rangers 8 3 1 4 11:13 10
9 Ballymena 7 1 3 3 10:11 6
10 Limavady 7 2 0 5 6:11 6
11 Bangor FC 8 1 2 5 7:17 5
12 Portadown 8 0 1 7 5:17 1
Promotion - NIFL Premiership (Championship Group)
Relegation - NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group)