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Portadown vs Linfield - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Premiership Shamrock Park, Portadown
Fri, Oct 23, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Portadown host Linfield in the NIFL Premiership. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Portadown have averaged 1.54 scored and 1.68 conceded recently, against Linfield's 1.45 scored and 1.17 conceded. Past meetings favor Linfield slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 15, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (0.63 - 1.63) back Linfield to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Portadown
20%
Draws
61%
Linfield
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Linfield

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Linfield come out ahead of Portadown on wins alone.
  • Model gives Linfield a 61% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Portadown Clean Sheet 14%
Linfield Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portadown Linfield
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 15
Draws 6 4
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.54 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.68 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 15, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Portadown vs Linfield
1:1
Mar 10, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Linfield vs Portadown
3:1
Oct 17, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Portadown vs Linfield
2:0
Sep 6, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Linfield vs Portadown
3:0
Jan 18, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Portadown vs Linfield
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portadown 11 / 100
Linfield 76 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portadown Linfield

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Linfield Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portadown found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).

Linfield has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Portadown went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Portadown VS Linfield
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Portadown

(Home)
03 Oct
Portadown
3 : 1
Limavady
26 Sept
Ballymena
2 : 0
Portadown
19 Sept
Bangor FC
3 : 1
Portadown
15 Sept
Portadown
1 : 1
Linfield
12 Sept
Portadown
0 : 2
Larne
Page 1 of 6

Linfield

(Away)
25 Sept
Coleraine
1 : 3
Linfield
19 Sept
Linfield
1 : 0
Crusaders
15 Sept
Portadown
1 : 1
Linfield
12 Sept
Dungannon
0 : 1
Linfield
05 Sept
Linfield
1 : 0
Carrick Rangers
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coleraine 10 8 1 1 22:10 25
2 Linfield 9 7 1 1 12:6 22
3 Glentoran 11 5 2 4 15:10 17
4 Larne 6 5 1 0 12:3 16
5 Crusaders 10 5 0 5 15:18 15
6 Carrick Rangers 10 4 1 5 15:15 13
7 Dungannon 9 4 1 4 9:10 13
8 Ballymena 9 3 3 3 13:11 12
9 Cliftonville 10 4 0 6 12:12 12
10 Limavady 9 3 0 6 8:14 9
11 Bangor FC 10 1 2 7 10:22 5
12 Portadown 11 1 2 8 8:20 5
Promotion - NIFL Premiership (Championship Group)
Relegation - NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group)