Sport Picks
Match Events
99'
99'
Murray D.
115'
115'
Salley A.
119'
119'
Salley A.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 3-0, with Portadown advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
21%
15%
64%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tobermore
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
21%
/ Low Confidence
- Portadown haven't matched Tobermore's recent run of results.
- Portadown are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- Tobermore arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Portadown, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Portadown here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Portadown Clean Sheet 20%
Tobermore Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Portadown | Tobermore |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 9 | 11 |
| Draws | 6 | 0 |
| Losses | 15 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 2.16 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.57 | 2.58 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.60 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 28, 2018 Irish League Cup
Portadown vs Tobermore
3:0
Apr 7, 2009 NIFL Championship
Portadown vs Tobermore
2:1
Aug 23, 2008 NIFL Championship
Tobermore vs Portadown
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Portadown Compare
Top Goalscorer Salley A.
2 Goals Assists Leader Murray D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8
Tobermore Compare
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Portadown 40 / 100
Tobermore 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Portadown Tobermore
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Portadown Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Tobermore let in goals in 87% of their last 31 matches.
Portadown found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).
These sides typically produce 2.67 goals when they meet.
Tobermore's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Portadown VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Portadown
(Home) 26 Sept
Ballymena
2 : 0 Portadown
19 Sept
Bangor FC
3 : 1 Portadown
15 Sept
Portadown
1 : 1 Linfield
12 Sept
Portadown
0 : 2 Larne
05 Sept
Cliftonville
3 : 1 Portadown
Page 1 of 6
15 Sept
Portadown
1 : 1 Linfield
12 Sept
Portadown
0 : 2 Larne
28 Aug
Portadown
0 : 3 Coleraine
15 Aug
Portadown
0 : 1 Dungannon
07 Apr
Portadown
1 : 1 Carrick Rangers
Page 1 of 2
Tobermore
(Away) 13 Aug
Tobermore
3 : 4 Queens University
25 Nov
Willowbank
3 : 2 Tobermore
19 Aug
Limavady
6 : 1 Tobermore
22 Jul
Coleraine
2 : 1 Tobermore
15 Jul
Harland & Wolff
3 : 5 Tobermore
Page 1 of 7
25 Nov
Willowbank
3 : 2 Tobermore
19 Aug
Limavady
6 : 1 Tobermore
22 Jul
Coleraine
2 : 1 Tobermore
15 Jul
Harland & Wolff
3 : 5 Tobermore
31 Jul
Newry City
2 : 1 Tobermore
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Crusaders -
TBD -
Banbridge 0
PSNI 1
Lurgan Celtic 4
Armagh 0
TBD -
Ballinamallard -
Coleraine -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballyclare -
Larne -
TBD -
TBD -
Glentoran -
Ards -
TBD -
TBD -
Newington FC -
Glenavon -
TBD -
TBD -
Dergview -
Harland & Wolff -
TBD -
TBD -
Portstewart -
Dollingstown -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballymena -
Dungannon -
TBD -
TBD -
Limavady -
Annagh -
TBD -
TBD -
Warrenpoint -
Carrick Rangers -
TBD -
TBD -
Sport & Leisure -
Lisburn Distillery 4
Queens University 3
TBD -
Cliftonville -
Portadown -
TBD -
TBD -
Tobermore -
Knockbreda 3
Dundela 1
TBD -
Newry City -
Institute -
TBD -
TBD -
Loughgall -
Moyola -
TBD -
TBD -
Linfield -
1/16-finals
Crusaders 4
PSNI 1
Lurgan Celtic 1
Ballinamallard 4
Coleraine 2
Ballyclare 1
Larne 2
Glentoran 3
Ards 3
Newington FC 2
Glenavon 0
Dergview 1
Harland & Wolff 4
Portstewart 3
Dollingstown 1
Ballymena 5
Dungannon 2
Limavady 1
Annagh 1
Warrenpoint 3
Carrick Rangers 6
Sport & Leisure 0
Lisburn Distillery 1
Cliftonville 5
Portadown 3
Tobermore 0
Knockbreda 0
Newry City 1
Institute 5
Loughgall 1
Moyola 0
Linfield 8
1/8-finals
Crusaders 2
Ballinamallard 1
Coleraine 3
Glentoran 4
Ards 4
Dergview 1
Harland & Wolff 0
Ballymena 1
Dungannon 3
Warrenpoint 2
Carrick Rangers 2
Cliftonville 3
Portadown 2
Newry City 1
Institute 0
Linfield 5
Quarter-finals
Crusaders 4
Glentoran 2
Ards 0
Ballymena 1
Dungannon 2
Cliftonville 1
Portadown 1
Linfield 2
Semi-finals
Crusaders 0
Ballymena 1
Dungannon 0
Linfield 1
Final
Ballymena 0
Linfield 1
