Sport Picks

Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2017/2018

Mossley FC

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Portaferry Rovers play Mossley FC in the Irish Cup 2017/2018. Portaferry Rovers are favorites here. Recently, Portaferry Rovers averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. Mossley FC averaged 1.29 goals scored and 3.43 conceded. In past meetings, Portaferry Rovers won 1, Mossley FC won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 30, 2017 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.52 for Portaferry Rovers and 1.54 for Mossley FC. This points to a Portaferry Rovers double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%

Portaferry Rovers

15%

Draws

15%

Mossley FC

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Portaferry Rovers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Portaferry Rovers picked up more points recently compared to Mossley FC.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.52 vs 1.54 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 69%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 92%

Over 2.5 Goals 69%

Over 3.5 Goals 41%

Over 4.5 Goals 21%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%

Portaferry Rovers Clean Sheet 15%

Mossley FC Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 83%

Second Half Goal 87%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Portaferry Rovers	Mossley FC
Matches Played	5	7
Wins	2	1
Draws	0	0
Losses	3	6
Goals Scored	1.6	1.29
Goals Conceded	1.8	3.43
Expected Goals (xG)	1.60	1.29
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.80	3.43

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 30, 2017 Irish Cup

Portaferry Rovers vs Mossley FC

Possession: 43% - 52% Cards: 1 - 0

2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portaferry Rovers 66 / 100

Mossley FC 16 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Portaferry Rovers Mossley FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Portaferry Rovers Win (1)

Secondary Pick Portaferry Rovers & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +12.7%

1.61

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.7%

1.59

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Portaferry Rovers attacking → ← attacking Mossley FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portaferry Rovers scored in 80% of their last 5 games.

Mossley FC let in goals in 100% of their last 7 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Portaferry Rovers went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Mossley FC lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

6 Points in last 5 3

1.60 Goals expected (xG) 1.29

1.80 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.43