Sport Picks

England

FA Cup 2016/2017

Portchester

0 - 2

Merthyr Town

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-2, with Merthyr Town advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%

Portchester

20%

Draws

46%

Merthyr Town

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Merthyr Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence

Merthyr Town carry the better recent record into this one.
36% — that's where the model lands on Portchester taking it.
Merthyr Town arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Merthyr Town, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%

Portchester Clean Sheet 12%

Merthyr Town Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Portchester	Merthyr Town
Matches Played	22	30
Wins	9	11
Draws	2	7
Losses	11	12
Goals Scored	1.27	1.63
Goals Conceded	1.41	1.47
Expected Goals (xG)	1.06	1.71
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 17, 2016 FA Cup

Portchester vs Merthyr Town

0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portchester 35 / 100

Merthyr Town 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Portchester Merthyr Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Portchester scored in 68% of their last 22 outings.

Defensive concern: Merthyr Town conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Portchester has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Portchester VS Merthyr Town

1 Goals Scored 1.75

1.67 Goals Conceded 1.13

67% Over 1.5 88%

67% Over 2.5 75%

33% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Portchester

(Home)

19 Sept

Brackley

1 : 0

Portchester

05 Sept

Portchester

2 : 1

Portland United

28 Aug

Portchester

1 : 3

Whitstable Town

25 Oct

Wimborne

1 : 0

Portchester

04 Oct

Portchester

2 : 1

Taunton Town

Page 1 of 5

Merthyr Town

(Away)

19 Sept

Merthyr Town

1 : 1

Truro

12 Sept

Scarborough Athletic

0 : 0

Merthyr Town

08 Sept

Chester

0 : 1

Merthyr Town

05 Sept

Merthyr Town

2 : 1

Macclesfield

31 Aug

Buxton

2 : 1

Merthyr Town

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/8-finals

Southport -

TBD -

Chester -

Alfreton -

TBD -

AFC Fylde -

Harlow 3

Romford 1

Brigg Town 1

King’s Lynn 6

TBD -

Gateshead -

North Ferriby United -

TBD -

Macclesfield -

United of Manchester -

TBD -

Billingham Synthonia FC 4

Ossett Town 5

Bridlington Town 2

Newcastle Benfield 0

TBD -

Harrogate -

Stalybridge -

TBD -

Buxton 0

Witton Albion 3

Ashton Athletic 7

Mossley AFC 2

TBD -

Halifax -

Stockport County -

TBD -

Colne 0

Hyde 1

Bradford PA -

TBD -

Salford -

Farsley 3

Sheffield FC 0

Pontefract Collieries 2

Tadcaster Albion 3

Trafford 5

Cheadle Town 2

Ossett Albion 1

Bishop Auckland 5

Barrow -

TBD -

Tranmere -

Halesowen 3

Coleshill Town 0

Hednesford 1

Belper Town 2

Marine 2

Marske United 0

Ashton United 0

Nantwich 3

Ilkeston F.C. (inactive) 6

Ashby Ivanhoe 0

Evesham 2

Barwell 4

Mickleover 3

Spalding United 2

Peterborough Sports 1

Stourbridge 3

Altrincham -

TBD -

Gainsborough -

Blyth Spartans 3

Frickley 1

Colwyn Bay 1

Morpeth 4

Matlock 4

Heanor Town 2

Stafford 1

Kidsgrove Athletic 2

Shildon 5

Washington 2

Warrington Town 0

Workington 3

Lincoln City -

TBD -

Guiseley -

Lincoln Utd. 6

Dunkirk 1

TBD -

Nuneaton -

Burscough 4

Maine Road 3

Squires Gate 2

Handsworth Parramore 5

Chorley -

TBD -

Skelmersdale 3

Dunston 4

Whitby 5

Winsford United 4

Radcliffe 3

Spennymoor 5

Stamford 5

Neots 2

Deeping Rangers 2

Gresley 6

Coalville Town 2

Redditch 1

Stratford 1

AFC Mansfield 2

TBD -

Wrexham -

York City -

TBD -

Bedworth United 2

Coventry United 0

Grantham Town 3

Chasetown 4

Consett 5

Harrogate Railway 0

TBD -

Curzon Ashton -

Welling -

TBD -

Ramsgate 1

Whyteleafe 2

Farnborough 5

Andover Town 0

Portishead Town 1

Swindon Supermarine 4

Merthyr Town 4

Barnstaple Town 0

Bideford 1

Portchester 2

East Thurrock Utd -

TBD -

Whitehawk -

Westfields 4

St Ives Town 0

Leamington 1

Highgate United 3

Hythe 1

Leatherhead 0

Greenwich Borough 2

Walton Casuals 3

Hungerford -

TBD -

Bemerton Heath Harlequins FC 0

Basingstoke 4

South Park 2

Dorking Wanderers 1

Grays 1

Leiston 4

Sutton -

TBD -

Forest Green -

Chesham 5

Saffron 0

Lewes 1

Sevenoaks 2

Maidenhead -

TBD -

Godalming Town 0

Staines 4

Potters 3

Chalfont St Peter 0

Dunstable Town 1

Canvey Island 2

Oxford City -

TBD -

Bath City -

Dagenham & Red. -

TBD -

Banbury 3

Dorchester 0

Gillingham Town 0

Cirencester 2

Histon 2

Lowestoft 0

TBD -

Wealdstone -

Torquay -

TBD -

Woking -

Taunton Town 2

Cinderford Town 0

Fleet Town 1

Slimbridge 2

AFC Dunstable 4

Heybridge 3

TBD -

Hampton & Richmond -

Gloucester City -

TBD -

Frome Town 0

Salisbury 2

Herne Bay 3

Ashford Town 1

TBD -

Hemel Hempstead -

Braintree -

TBD -

Bromley -

Beaconsfield Town 7

Wantage 2

Haringey Borough 0

FC Witham Town 3

Stortford -

TBD -

Tilbury 1

Felixstowe & Walton 2

Worcester -

TBD -

Telford -

Rugby 1

Corby 0

TBD -

Brackley -

Tonbridge 9

Ascot United 2

Waltham Abbey 0

Wingate & Finchley 5

Sutton Coldfield Town 3

Eynesbury Rovers 1

Romulus 1

Hereford 4

Slough Town 6

Chipstead 1

Flackwell Heath 1

Cambridge City 3

Chelmsford -

TBD -

Dartford -

Faversham 1

Cray Wanderers 0

Biggleswade United 2

Hitchin 4

VCD Athletic 4

Kingstonian 1

Arundel FC 1

Egham Town 5

Worthing FC 9

Carshalton 5

Sun Sports 0

Hayes & Yeading 2

Dereham 2

Holbeach 1

TBD -

St. Albans -

Boreham Wood -

TBD -

AFC Rushden & Diamonds 2

Hornchurch 0

TBD -

Concord Rangers -

Dulwich Hamlet 3

Pagham 0

Cheshunt 2

Hendon 5

Aldershot -

TBD -

Eastbourne Borough -

TBD -

Hounslow United 1

Metropolitan Police 3

Kings Langley 6

Sporting Bengal 1

London Colney 0

Hadley 1

Harrow Borough 4

Sawbridgeworth 1

Needham Market 0

Uxbridge 2

Truro -

TBD -

Street 2

Winchester City 4

Margate -

TBD -

Maldon & Tiptree 0

Biggleswade Town 1

Barton 1

Stanway Rovers 0

Camberley Town 0

Hastings 2

Maidstone -

TBD -

Chippenham Town 9

Moneyfields 0

TBD -

Poole Town -

Bognor Regis 5

Guildford City 1

Brightlingsea 1

Billericay 2

Kidderminster -

TBD -

Tamworth -

Darlington FC -

TBD -

Brighouse Town 0

Lancaster 3

Brimscombe & Thrupp 3

Peacehaven & Telscombe 0

Hamworthy United 2

Brislington 5

Gosport Borough -

TBD -

Paulton Rovers 1

Weymouth 2

Solihull Moors -

TBD -

Boston United -

TBD -

Hinckley LR 2

Kirby Muxloe 3

Rushall 3

Soham 2

Leek Town 2

Kettering 3

Burgess Hill 2

Ashford United 1

Harefield United 2

Kempston 3

Alresford Town 5

Fareham 3

Plymouth Parkway 0

Cadbury Heath 3

TBD -

Dover Ath. -

Merstham 4

East Preston 1

Eastbourne Town 0

Colliers Wood 2

Hanwell Town 1

Enfield Town 0

Chertsey Town 0

Thamesmead 1

Havant & Waterlooville 2

Sholing 0

Eastbourne United 0

Highworth 3

Sudbury 6

Halstead Town 0

TBD -

Ebbsfleet -

Eastleigh -

TBD -

Folkestone 3

North Greenford Utd. 1

Stotfold 1

Walthamstow FC 2

Weston-super-Mare -

TBD -

Corinthian-Casuals 2

North Leigh 3

Quarter-finals

Southport -

TBD -

Chester -

Alfreton 1

AFC Fylde 0

Harlow 0

King’s Lynn 1

TBD -

Gateshead -

North Ferriby United -

TBD -

Macclesfield -

United of Manchester 7

Ossett Town 1

Bridlington Town 3

Harrogate 4

Stalybridge 3

Witton Albion 2

Ashton Athletic 0

Halifax 5

Stockport County 2

Hyde 0

Bradford PA 0

Salford 1

Farsley 2

Tadcaster Albion 0

Trafford 0

Bishop Auckland 1

Barrow -

TBD -

Tranmere -

Halesowen 1

Belper Town 0

Marine 4

Nantwich 5

Ilkeston F.C. (inactive) 1

Barwell 0

Mickleover 1

Stourbridge 2

Altrincham 3

Gainsborough 2

Blyth Spartans 2

Morpeth 4

Matlock 2

Kidsgrove Athletic 1

Shildon 1

Workington 3

Lincoln City -

TBD -

Guiseley -

Lincoln Utd. 2

Nuneaton 1

Burscough 0

Handsworth Parramore 2

Chorley 2

Dunston 0

Whitby 0

Spennymoor 1

Stamford 2

Gresley 1

Coalville Town 0

AFC Mansfield 1

TBD -

Wrexham -

York City -

TBD -

Bedworth United 1

Chasetown 0

Consett 1

Curzon Ashton 2

Welling 2

Whyteleafe 0

Farnborough 0

Swindon Supermarine 1

Merthyr Town 2

Portchester 0

East Thurrock Utd 2

Whitehawk 3

Westfields 4

Highgate United 2

Hythe 2

Walton Casuals 4

Hungerford 1

Basingstoke 0

South Park 1

Leiston 4

Sutton -

TBD -

Forest Green -

Chesham 4

Sevenoaks 3

Maidenhead 0

Staines 1

Potters 5

Canvey Island 4

Oxford City 2

Bath City 3

Dagenham & Red. -

TBD -

Banbury 6

Cirencester 1

Histon 0

Wealdstone 4

Torquay -

TBD -

Woking -

Taunton Town 2

Slimbridge 0

AFC Dunstable 1

Hampton & Richmond 7

Gloucester City 2

Salisbury 1

Herne Bay 2

Hemel Hempstead 6

Braintree -

TBD -

Bromley -

Beaconsfield Town 3

FC Witham Town 1

Stortford 1

Felixstowe & Walton 2

Worcester 3

Telford 1

Rugby 0

Brackley 6

Tonbridge 3

Wingate & Finchley 0

Sutton Coldfield Town 2

Hereford 3

Slough Town 3

Cambridge City 1

Chelmsford 2

Dartford 3

Faversham 3

Hitchin 2

VCD Athletic 1

Egham Town 2

Worthing FC 2

Hayes & Yeading 0

Dereham 1

St. Albans 2

Boreham Wood -

TBD -

AFC Rushden & Diamonds 3

Concord Rangers 1

Dulwich Hamlet 0

Hendon 2

Aldershot -

TBD -

Eastbourne Borough 2

Metropolitan Police 1

Kings Langley 1

Hadley 2

Harrow Borough 2

Uxbridge 1

Truro 0

Winchester City 4

Margate 2

Biggleswade Town 0

Barton 0

Hastings 1

Maidstone -

TBD -

Chippenham Town 4

Poole Town 1

Bognor Regis 1

Billericay 2

Kidderminster 4

Tamworth 0

Darlington FC 1

Lancaster 2

Brimscombe & Thrupp 2

Brislington 1

Gosport Borough 2

Weymouth 3

Solihull Moors -

TBD -

Boston United 2

Kirby Muxloe 1

Rushall 1

Kettering 2

Burgess Hill 4

Kempston 2

Alresford Town 1

Cadbury Heath 3

TBD -

Dover Ath. -

Merstham 2

Colliers Wood 1

Hanwell Town 3

Thamesmead 5

Havant & Waterlooville 5

Highworth 1

Sudbury 0

Ebbsfleet 5

Eastleigh -

TBD -

Folkestone 3

Walthamstow FC 1

Weston-super-Mare 1

North Leigh 2

Semi-finals

Southport -

TBD -

Chester -

Alfreton 2

King’s Lynn 0

TBD -

Gateshead -

North Ferriby United -

TBD -

Macclesfield -

United of Manchester 3

Harrogate 5

Stalybridge 1

Halifax 2

Stockport County 2

Salford 0

Farsley 0

Bishop Auckland 1

Barrow -

TBD -

Tranmere -

Halesowen 2

Nantwich 3

Ilkeston F.C. (inactive) 1

Stourbridge 2

Altrincham 3

Morpeth 0

Matlock 4

Workington 2

Lincoln City -

TBD -

Guiseley -

Lincoln Utd. 3

Handsworth Parramore 1

Chorley 0

Spennymoor 1

Stamford 2

AFC Mansfield 1

TBD -

Wrexham -

York City -

TBD -

Bedworth United 0

Curzon Ashton 4

Welling 7

Swindon Supermarine 1

Merthyr Town 0

Whitehawk 2

Westfields 4

Walton Casuals 0

Hungerford 1

Leiston 4

Sutton -

TBD -

Forest Green -

Chesham 2

Staines 0

Potters 2

Bath City 1

Dagenham & Red. -

TBD -

Banbury 1

Wealdstone 2

Torquay -

TBD -

Woking -

Taunton Town 2

Hampton & Richmond 1

Gloucester City 2

Hemel Hempstead 4

Braintree -

TBD -

Bromley -

Beaconsfield Town 3

Felixstowe & Walton 0

Worcester 0

Brackley 3

Tonbridge 4

Hereford 2

Slough Town 2

Dartford 3

Faversham 1

Egham Town 2

Worthing FC 0

St. Albans 6

Boreham Wood -

TBD -

AFC Rushden & Diamonds 0

Hendon 3

Aldershot -

TBD -

Eastbourne Borough 4

Hadley 1

Harrow Borough 2

Winchester City 1

Margate 4

Hastings 3

Maidstone -

TBD -

Chippenham Town 2

Billericay 3

Kidderminster 3

Lancaster 2

Brimscombe & Thrupp 0

Weymouth 6

Solihull Moors -

TBD -

Boston United 0

Kettering 2

Burgess Hill 6

Cadbury Heath 1

TBD -

Dover Ath. -

Merstham 5

Thamesmead 1

Havant & Waterlooville 0

Ebbsfleet 7

Eastleigh -

TBD -

Folkestone 1

North Leigh 3

Stage 5

TBD -

Stage 4

TBD -

Stage 3

TBD -

Stage 2

TBD -

Stage 1

TBD -

Final

Southport 1

Chester 0

Alfreton 5

Gateshead 4

North Ferriby United 1

Macclesfield 4

Harrogate 0

Halifax 2

Stockport County 2

Bishop Auckland 0

Barrow 2

Tranmere 1

Nantwich 1

Stourbridge 3

Altrincham 3

Matlock 1

Lincoln City 2

Guiseley 1

Lincoln Utd. 0

Spennymoor 3

Stamford 4

Wrexham 3

York City 2

Curzon Ashton 3

Welling 0

Whitehawk 1

Westfields 2

Leiston 1

Sutton 2

Forest Green 1

Chesham 1

Potters 0

Dagenham & Red. 3

Wealdstone 1

Torquay 2

Woking 3

Taunton Town 1

Hemel Hempstead 0

Braintree 4

Bromley 2

Beaconsfield Town 0

Brackley 5

Tonbridge 0

Dartford 3

Egham Town 0

St. Albans 1

Boreham Wood 3

Hendon 0

Aldershot 1

Eastbourne Borough 2

Harrow Borough 5

Margate 3

Maidstone 3

Billericay 1

Kidderminster 6

Weymouth 0

Solihull Moors 3

Kettering 1

Burgess Hill 0

Dover Ath. 5

Merstham 2

Ebbsfleet 1

Eastleigh 6

North Leigh 0

Portchester vs Merthyr Town

England

Portchester

Merthyr Town

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Portchester

Merthyr Town

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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