Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Portel vs Aljustrelense

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
45' Event
Penalty Missed
64' Event

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group D matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Portel
35%
Draws
27%
Aljustrelense
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Portel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Aljustrelense lately — more wins on the board than Portel.
  • Portel are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Portel Clean Sheet 68%
Aljustrelense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portel Aljustrelense
Matches Played 8 26
Wins 1 6
Draws 4 4
Losses 3 16
Goals Scored 1.75 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Portel vs Aljustrelense
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portel 95 / 100
Aljustrelense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portel Aljustrelense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Portel Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Portel stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Portel found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (8 games).

Aljustrelense has conceded goals in 77% of their last 26 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Portel VS Aljustrelense
1.75 Goals Scored 0.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Portel

(Home)
13 Sept
Portel
1 : 1
Aljustrelense
06 Sept
Juv. Evora
1 : 1
Portel
30 Aug
Messejanense
0 : 8
Portel
23 Aug
GD Alcochetense
2 : 2
Portel
16 Aug
Portel
2 : 2
Sintrense
Page 1 of 2

Aljustrelense

(Away)
13 Sept
Portel
1 : 1
Aljustrelense
30 Aug
Ferreiras
0 : 3
Aljustrelense
23 Aug
Sintrense
4 : 0
Aljustrelense
16 Aug
Aljustrelense
1 : 1
Lagoa
10 Apr
Vitoria Setubal
2 : 0
Aljustrelense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sintrense 4 3 1 0 11:3 10
2 Imortal 4 2 1 1 7:3 7
3 Serpa 3 1 2 0 5:3 5
4 Lagoa 4 1 2 1 3:3 5
5 Juv. Evora 3 1 2 0 6:5 5
6 Real SC 2 1 1 0 6:5 4
7 Amora 3 1 1 1 4:3 4
8 Portel 4 0 4 0 6:6 4
9 Vitoria Setubal 4 1 1 2 6:9 4
10 GD Alcochetense 3 0 2 1 5:6 2
11 Aljustrelense 3 0 2 1 2:6 2
12 1º Dezembro 3 0 2 1 2:7 2
13 Lajense 2 0 1 1 5:6 1
14 Santa Clara B 2 0 0 2 2:5 0
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Relegation Group 2026/2027 (Main)