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Portel vs Aljustrelense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Costa B.
64' Event
Dangervil A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group D matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Portel
30%
Draws
23%
Aljustrelense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Portel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Aljustrelense lately — more wins on the board than Portel.
  • Portel are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Portel Clean Sheet 68%
Aljustrelense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portel Aljustrelense
Matches Played 13 27
Wins 1 4
Draws 6 5
Losses 6 18
Goals Scored 1.38 0.59
Goals Conceded 1.69 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Portel vs Aljustrelense
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portel Compare

Top Goalscorer Dangervil A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Aljustrelense Compare

Top Goalscorer Costa B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portel 86 / 100
Aljustrelense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portel Aljustrelense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Portel Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aljustrelense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 85% of 27 matches.

Portel found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (13 games).

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Aljustrelense's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Portel VS Aljustrelense
1.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Portel

(Home)
01 Nov
Serpa
2 : 2
Portel
24 Oct
Portel
1 : 1
Santa Clara B
18 Oct
Lajense
2 : 1
Portel
11 Oct
Imortal
3 : 0
Portel
20 Sept
Olhanense
1 : 0
Portel
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Aljustrelense

(Away)
01 Nov
Santa Clara B
3 : 0
Aljustrelense
25 Oct
Aljustrelense
1 : 1
Imortal
11 Oct
Juv. Evora
3 : 0
Aljustrelense
27 Sept
Aljustrelense
0 : 2
GD Alcochetense
20 Sept
AD Limianos
3 : 0
Aljustrelense
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sintrense 7 5 1 1 15:6 16
2 Real SC 7 3 4 0 14:9 13
3 Juv. Evora 7 3 2 2 12:11 11
4 GD Alcochetense 7 3 2 2 12:10 11
5 Imortal 7 3 2 2 11:6 11
6 Serpa 7 2 4 1 11:9 10
7 Lajense 8 3 1 4 11:12 10
8 Santa Clara B 6 2 2 2 9:7 8
9 Amora 7 2 2 3 8:8 8
10 Vitoria Setubal 7 2 2 3 10:12 8
11 1º Dezembro 6 2 2 2 4:8 8
12 Lagoa 7 1 3 3 6:9 6
13 Portel 8 0 6 2 10:14 6
14 Aljustrelense 7 0 3 4 3:15 3
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Relegation Group 2026/2027 (Main)