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Porthmadog vs Llanuwchllyn - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru North
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
02:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Porthmadog host Llanuwchllyn in the Cymru North. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Llanuwchllyn have shipped 2.62 goals a game lately, while Porthmadog have conceded 1.89 and scored 1.43. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. The numbers (1.81 xG vs 1.44) point toward Porthmadog. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Porthmadog
20%
Draws
29%
Llanuwchllyn
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Porthmadog

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Porthmadog lately — more wins on the board than Llanuwchllyn.
  • Porthmadog are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Cymru North form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Porthmadog Clean Sheet 16%
Llanuwchllyn Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Porthmadog Llanuwchllyn
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 10
Draws 5 4
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.43 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.89 2.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Porthmadog 48 / 100
Llanuwchllyn 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Porthmadog Llanuwchllyn

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Porthmadog Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Llanuwchllyn's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Porthmadog found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Porthmadog went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Llanuwchllyn has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Porthmadog VS Llanuwchllyn
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.5
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Porthmadog

(Home)
31 Oct
Guilsfield
2 : 2
Porthmadog
24 Oct
Porthmadog
0 : 1
Brickfield Rangers
16 Oct
Connahs Q.
4 : 0
Porthmadog
10 Oct
Gresford
0 : 1
Porthmadog
03 Oct
Porthmadog
1 : 0
Bangor 1876
Page 1 of 6

Llanuwchllyn

(Away)
31 Oct
Llanuwchllyn
3 : 4
Denbigh
24 Oct
Llanuwchllyn
3 : 3
Bala
17 Oct
Newtown
7 : 0
Llanuwchllyn
10 Oct
Llanuwchllyn
4 : 1
Penrhyncoch
03 Oct
Guilsfield
1 : 0
Llanuwchllyn
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brickfield Rangers 13 10 1 2 28:11 31
2 Newtown 12 8 3 1 22:5 27
3 Mold Alexandra 12 8 2 2 30:14 26
4 Porthmadog 13 7 3 3 20:14 24
5 Bala 13 6 3 4 26:24 21
6 Caersws FC 12 5 5 2 25:18 20
7 Bangor 1876 12 5 3 4 24:19 18
8 Guilsfield 13 4 6 3 20:18 18
9 Buckley 13 4 3 6 25:23 15
10 Holyhead 12 4 2 6 17:20 14
11 Llanuwchllyn 12 4 2 6 23:31 14
12 Denbigh 12 4 1 7 24:26 13
13 Ruthin Town 12 3 3 6 12:22 12
14 Rhyl 12 2 5 5 21:24 11
15 Gresford 11 2 1 8 7:24 7
16 Penrhyncoch 12 0 1 11 6:37 1
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2027/2028 (Main)