Sport Picks

Italy

Serie D - Group I 2023/2024

Portici 1906

1 - 0

Nuova Gioiese

Our Tip

Match Events

64'

Riccio G.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Portici 1906 in this Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Portici 1906.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%

Portici 1906

28%

Draws

50%

Nuova Gioiese

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Nuova Gioiese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Form's been kind to Portici 1906 lately — more wins on the board than Nuova Gioiese.
Nuova Gioiese are the model's pick here, at 50%.
Regular Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%

Portici 1906 Clean Sheet 16%

Nuova Gioiese Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Portici 1906	Nuova Gioiese
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	8	2
Draws	8	3
Losses	13	24
Goals Scored	1.13	0.88
Goals Conceded	2	1.88
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.00	1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 24, 2024 Serie D - Group I

Nuova Gioiese vs Portici 1906

Possession: 54% - 49% Cards: 4 - 1

2:3

Nov 12, 2023 Serie D - Group I

Portici 1906 vs Nuova Gioiese

Possession: 58% - 59% Cards: 1 - 1

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portici 1906 Compare

Top Goalscorer Riccio G.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

Nuova Gioiese Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8

Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portici 1906 23 / 100

Nuova Gioiese 59 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Portici 1906 Nuova Gioiese

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GIO Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Nuova Gioiese conceded in 93% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Difficult form: Nuova Gioiese registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Portici 1906 scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Portici 1906 VS Nuova Gioiese

1.13 Goals Scored 0.88

2 Goals Conceded 1.88

88% Over 1.5 75%

50% Over 2.5 63%

50% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Trapani	34	30	4	0	95:15	94
2	Siracusa	34	25	6	3	79:26	81
3	Vibonese	34	22	6	6	67:29	72
4	Reggina	34	19	8	7	54:25	65
5	AS Acireale	34	15	9	10	39:41	54
6	S. Agata	34	15	7	12	46:35	52
7	Real Casalnuovo	34	15	6	13	52:49	51
8	USD Ragusa	34	14	8	12	41:38	50
9	Canicatti	34	14	6	14	55:51	48
10	Igea Virtus	34	13	6	15	38:40	45
11	Licata	34	12	7	15	43:54	43
12	Akragas	34	12	6	16	42:53	42
13	Sancataldese	34	9	10	15	32:43	37
14	Portici 1906	34	8	8	18	32:55	32
15	San Luca	34	6	12	16	37:55	29
16	Locri 1909	34	7	7	20	34:68	28
17	Castrovillari	34	2	12	20	29:76	17
18	Nuova Gioiese	34	3	2	29	18:80	11
19	Lamezia Terme	0	0	0	0	0:0	0