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Portimonense B vs Malveira

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2025/2026
Portimonense B Logo

Portimonense B

0 - 3
FT
Malveira Logo

Malveira

Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Evora M.
51' Event
Correia R.
67' Event
Blackwell Z.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Malveira in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Malveira.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Portimonense B
20%
Draws
64%
Malveira
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Malveira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Portimonense B haven't matched Malveira's recent run of results.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Malveira taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 16.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Portimonense B Clean Sheet 13%
Malveira Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portimonense B Malveira
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 7 10
Draws 4 10
Losses 17 10
Goals Scored 0.75 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 0.67 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Portimonense B vs Malveira
0:3
Dec 7, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Malveira vs Portimonense B
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portimonense B Compare

Avg xG / game 0.52
Avg xA / game 0.34

Malveira Compare

Top Goalscorer Evora M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Correia R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portimonense B 11 / 100
Malveira 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portimonense B Malveira

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Malveira Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Malveira let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Malveira's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Portimonense B scored in 54% of their last 28 games.

Scoring Trends

Portimonense B VS Malveira
0.33 Goals Scored 0.88
2.5 Goals Conceded 1
83% Over 1.5 75%
83% Over 2.5 38%
33% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Portimonense B

(Home)
18 Apr
Sintrense
2 : 1
Portimonense B
12 Apr
Portimonense B
1 : 3
Lagoa
04 Apr
Portimonense B
0 : 3
Malveira
29 Mar
Alverca B
4 : 0
Portimonense B
22 Mar
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
0 : 0
Portimonense B
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Malveira

(Away)
13 Sept
Sertanense
1 : 1
Malveira
06 Sept
Malveira
3 : 0
GD Os Nazarenos
29 Aug
Malveira
2 : 3
Mafra
23 Aug
Fatima
5 : 0
Malveira
16 Aug
Malveira
0 : 1
Os Marialvas
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Louletano 26 14 8 4 36:15 50
2 Malveira 26 13 8 5 38:23 47
3 Alverca B 26 14 5 7 49:32 47
4 Juv. Evora 26 12 10 4 36:23 46
5 GD Alcochetense 26 11 8 7 33:22 41
6 Sintrense 26 11 7 8 30:25 40
7 Lagoa 26 11 6 9 44:34 39
8 O Elvas CAD 26 9 7 10 33:29 34
9 Serpa 26 9 7 10 28:34 34
10 Oriental 26 7 11 8 29:35 32
11 Moncarapachense 26 7 10 9 21:21 31
12 Portimonense B 26 6 4 16 19:42 22
13 Industria 26 2 8 16 20:45 14
14 Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 26 1 11 14 20:56 14
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)