Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Portimonense U23 vs Santa Clara U23

Portugal Portugal

Liga Revelacao U23
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Portimonense U23 play Santa Clara U23 in the Liga Revelacao U23. It looks like a close match. Recently, Portimonense U23 averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. Santa Clara U23 averaged 1.48 goals scored and 1.45 conceded. In past meetings, Portimonense U23 won 3, Santa Clara U23 won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Dec 14, 2025 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.49 for Portimonense U23 and 1.73 for Santa Clara U23. This points to a Santa Clara U23 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Portimonense U23
15%
Draws
48%
Santa Clara U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Santa Clara U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Portimonense U23 picked up more points recently compared to Santa Clara U23.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.49 vs 1.73 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 57%
Portimonense U23 Clean Sheet 12%
Santa Clara U23 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 62%
Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portimonense U23 Santa Clara U23
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 8 14
Draws 3 4
Losses 19 15
Goals Scored 1.1 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 0.86 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.71 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 14, 2025 Liga Revelacao U23
Portimonense U23 vs Santa Clara U23
1:0
Sep 30, 2025 Liga Revelacao U23
Santa Clara U23 vs Portimonense U23
1:0
Apr 16, 2025 Liga Revelacao U23
Santa Clara U23 vs Portimonense U23
0:0
Feb 5, 2025 Liga Revelacao U23
Portimonense U23 vs Santa Clara U23
1:0
Dec 4, 2024 Liga Revelacao U23
Santa Clara U23 vs Portimonense U23
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portimonense U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kim T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.66
Avg xA / game 0.43

Santa Clara U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portimonense U23 36 / 100
Santa Clara U23 45 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portimonense U23 Santa Clara U23

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Santa Clara U23 or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +27.6%
3.45
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.3%
2.08
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Portimonense U23 attacking → ← attacking Santa Clara U23

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portimonense U23 scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Santa Clara U23 let in goals in 76% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 0.80 goals.

Portimonense U23 went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Santa Clara U23 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

27 Points in last 5 46
0.86 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
1.71 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Academico Viseu U231475229:1626
2Leixoes U231467128:1725
3Braga U231465324:2223
4Famalicao U231472530:1923
5Gil Vicente U231445517:1817
6Rio Ave U231443719:2515
7Vizela U231442816:2714
8Maritimo U231423913:329
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Benfica U2316112327:1535
2Santa Clara U2316101521:1431
3Torreense U2316100625:1630
4Sporting CP U231683528:1427
5SC Farense U231681719:1825
6Leiria U231645717:2317
7Estrela da Amadora U231635817:2814
8Portimonense U2316511013:2313
9Estoril U231616915:319