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Portimonense vs FC Porto B

Portugal Portugal

Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 Estádio Municipal de Portimão
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Vonic L.
11' Event
Silva R.
Assist: Lobato S.
16' Event
Andrade T.

AI Match Summary

Portimonense host FC Porto B in the Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. FC Porto B have shipped 1.38 goals a game lately, while Portimonense have conceded 1.63 and scored 1.5. Head-to-head, Portimonense have won 3 to FC Porto B's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Mar 21, 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.44 - 1.25) back FC Porto B to edge this. FC Porto B in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Portimonense
28%
Draws
22%
FC Porto B
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Portimonense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • FC Porto B has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Portimonense.
  • Model forecasts a 50% win probability edge for Portimonense.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Portimonense Clean Sheet 68%
FC Porto B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portimonense FC Porto B
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 15
Draws 6 5
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.5 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Liga Portugal 2
Portimonense vs FC Porto B
2:1
Nov 23, 2025 Liga Portugal 2
FC Porto B vs Portimonense
1:0
May 11, 2025 Liga Portugal 2
Portimonense vs FC Porto B
0:3
Jan 12, 2025 Liga Portugal 2
FC Porto B vs Portimonense
1:2
Jul 20, 2019 Club Friendly
FC Porto B vs Portimonense
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portimonense Compare

Top Goalscorer Silva R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mateus Sarara
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

FC Porto B Compare

Top Goalscorer Andrade T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portimonense 59 / 100
FC Porto B 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portimonense FC Porto B

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portimonense scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

FC Porto B let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Portimonense went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

FC Porto B lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Portimonense VS FC Porto B
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Maritimo34206850:2966
2Academico Viseu34178958:3359
3Torreense341851146:3359
4Vizela341491139:4051
5FC Porto B341561341:4251
6Leiria3413111052:4650
7Leixoes341551446:5550
8Feirense3412101237:4046
9Chaves341361542:4045
10Benfica B3411111243:4444
11FC Felgueiras3411111234:3844
12Lusitania FC3411101344:5243
13Sporting CP B341331841:3442
14Penafiel341181537:3941
15Portimonense341171639:4940
16SC Farense3410101431:3740
17Pacos Ferreira349121334:4839
18Oliveirense348101634:4934