Sport Picks
Portimonense vs Leixoes
Portugal
Liga Portugal 2 Estádio Municipal de Portimão, Portimão 
Match Events
26'
26'
Paulinho
35'
35'
Mamede
39'
39'
Rochez B.
Assist: Figueiredo L.
AI Match Summary
Leixoes in this Liga Portugal 2 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Leixoes.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
20%
57%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Leixoes
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Leixoes have won more games recently than Portimonense.
- Model gives Leixoes a 57% chance of winning this.
- Regular Liga Portugal 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and Leixoes have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Portimonense Clean Sheet 11%
Leixoes Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Portimonense | Leixoes |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 16 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 14 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 1.86 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.33 | 1.34 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 29, 2026 Liga Portugal 2
Portimonense vs Leixoes
0:2
Apr 25, 2026 Liga Portugal 2
Leixoes vs Portimonense
2:0
Dec 14, 2025 Liga Portugal 2
Portimonense vs Leixoes
1:2
Mar 2, 2025 Liga Portugal 2
Portimonense vs Leixoes
2:1
Oct 5, 2024 Liga Portugal 2
Leixoes vs Portimonense
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Portimonense Compare
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Leixoes Compare
Top Goalscorer Rochez B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Portimonense 27 / 100
Leixoes 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Portimonense Leixoes
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Leixoes Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Portimonense scored in 63% of their last 30 games.
Defensive concern: Leixoes conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Solid form: Portimonense remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Portimonense VS Leixoes
1 Goals Scored 2.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Portimonense
(Home) 19 Sept
Castro Daire
0 : 1 Portimonense
12 Sept
Portimonense
0 : 2 Tondela
06 Sept
Leiria
1 : 0 Portimonense
29 Aug
Portimonense
0 : 2 Leixoes
21 Aug
Benfica B
1 : 1 Portimonense
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Portimonense
0 : 2 Tondela
29 Aug
Portimonense
0 : 2 Leixoes
16 Aug
Portimonense
2 : 0 Vizela
31 Jul
Portimonense
1 : 2 Nottingham
28 Jul
Portimonense
2 : 0 Al Ahli SC
Page 1 of 4
Leixoes
(Away) 11 Sept
Torreense
0 : 0 Leixoes
06 Sept
Leixoes
3 : 1 Amarante FC
29 Aug
Portimonense
0 : 2 Leixoes
22 Aug
Leixoes
2 : 4 Leiria
16 Aug
Leixoes
1 : 0 Tondela
Page 1 of 6
11 Sept
Torreense
0 : 0 Leixoes
29 Aug
Portimonense
0 : 2 Leixoes
10 Aug
Benfica B
1 : 0 Leixoes
18 Jul
Nacional
3 : 3 Leixoes
17 Jul
Maritimo
1 : 5 Leixoes
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lusitania FC | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11:4 | 16 |
| 2 | Penafiel | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13:5 | 13 |
| 3 | Sporting CP B | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8:6 | 12 |
| 4 | Vizela | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:4 | 11 |
| 5 | Benfica B | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:5 | 10 |
| 6 | Leiria | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:7 | 10 |
| 7 | Leixoes | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 10 |
| 8 | Academica | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8:10 | 9 |
| 9 | Tondela | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7:6 | 9 |
| 10 | SC Farense | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:5 | 8 |
| 11 | Portimonense | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4:6 | 7 |
| 12 | AFS | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:6 | 6 |
| 13 | FC Felgueiras | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5:6 | 6 |
| 14 | Torreense | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7:9 | 6 |
| 15 | Amarante FC | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:8 | 5 |
| 16 | Chaves | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:9 | 4 |
| 17 | FC Porto B | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:13 | 4 |
| 18 | Feirense | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1:8 | 1 |
Promotion - Liga Portugal 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 3 2027/2028 (Main)
