Sport Picks
Portimonense vs Tondela
Portugal
Liga Portugal 2 Estádio Municipal de Portimão, Portimão 
Match Events
30'
30'
van der Heide A.
Assist: Tomane
39'
39'
Mateus Sarara
46'
46'
Sub
Junior M. In: da Rocha Y.
Out: Junior M.
AI Match Summary
Tondela in this Liga Portugal 2 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tondela.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
26%
15%
59%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tondela
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Portimonense lately — more wins on the board than Tondela.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- Regular Liga Portugal 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Portimonense Clean Sheet 27%
Tondela Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Portimonense | Tondela |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 9 |
| Draws | 6 | 9 |
| Losses | 14 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.33 | 1.37 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 0.76 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 Liga Portugal 2
Portimonense vs Tondela
0:2
Apr 27, 2025 Liga Portugal 2
Portimonense vs Tondela
2:2
Dec 15, 2024 Liga Portugal 2
Tondela vs Portimonense
2:0
Jan 30, 2022 Liga Portugal
Portimonense vs Tondela
1:2
Aug 22, 2021 Liga Portugal
Tondela vs Portimonense
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Portimonense Compare
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Tondela Compare
Top Goalscorer van der Heide A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Mateus Sarara
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Portimonense 38 / 100
Tondela 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Portimonense Tondela
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Tondela Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Portimonense scored in 63% of their last 30 games.
Tondela has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
Solid form: Portimonense remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Portimonense VS Tondela
1 Goals Scored 0.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Portimonense
(Home) 19 Sept
Castro Daire
0 : 1 Portimonense
12 Sept
Portimonense
0 : 2 Tondela
06 Sept
Leiria
1 : 0 Portimonense
29 Aug
Portimonense
0 : 2 Leixoes
21 Aug
Benfica B
1 : 1 Portimonense
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Portimonense
0 : 2 Tondela
29 Aug
Portimonense
0 : 2 Leixoes
16 Aug
Portimonense
2 : 0 Vizela
31 Jul
Portimonense
1 : 2 Nottingham
28 Jul
Portimonense
2 : 0 Al Ahli SC
Page 1 of 4
Tondela
(Away) 19 Sept
Imortal
1 : 5 Tondela
12 Sept
Portimonense
0 : 2 Tondela
05 Sept
Tondela
3 : 0 FC Porto B
28 Aug
Leiria
2 : 0 Tondela
21 Aug
Tondela
0 : 2 Academica
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Imortal
1 : 5 Tondela
12 Sept
Portimonense
0 : 2 Tondela
28 Aug
Leiria
2 : 0 Tondela
16 Aug
Leixoes
1 : 0 Tondela
01 Aug
Rio Ave
3 : 1 Tondela
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lusitania FC | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11:4 | 16 |
| 2 | Penafiel | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13:5 | 13 |
| 3 | Sporting CP B | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8:6 | 12 |
| 4 | Vizela | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:4 | 11 |
| 5 | Benfica B | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:5 | 10 |
| 6 | Leiria | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:7 | 10 |
| 7 | Leixoes | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 10 |
| 8 | Academica | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8:10 | 9 |
| 9 | Tondela | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7:6 | 9 |
| 10 | SC Farense | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:5 | 8 |
| 11 | Portimonense | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4:6 | 7 |
| 12 | AFS | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:6 | 6 |
| 13 | FC Felgueiras | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5:6 | 6 |
| 14 | Torreense | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7:9 | 6 |
| 15 | Amarante FC | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:8 | 5 |
| 16 | Chaves | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:9 | 4 |
| 17 | FC Porto B | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:13 | 4 |
| 18 | Feirense | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1:8 | 1 |
Promotion - Liga Portugal 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 3 2027/2028 (Main)
