Sport Picks
Portland Hearts of Pine vs Chattanooga Red Wolves
USA
USL League One Fitzpatrick Stadium, Portland, ME 
Match Events
2'
2'
Morse H.
Own Goal
57'
57'
Gonzalez D.
Assist: Kamara J.
61'
61'
Sub
Lombardi A. In: Mercer G.
Out: Lombardi A.
AI Match Summary
Chattanooga Red Wolves in this USL League One matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chattanooga Red Wolves.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
39%
30%
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Chattanooga Red Wolves lately — more wins on the board than Portland Hearts of Pine.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Regular USL League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Portland Hearts of Pine Clean Sheet 11%
Chattanooga Red Wolves Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Portland Hearts of Pine | Chattanooga Red Wolves |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 12 |
| Draws | 7 | 2 |
| Losses | 12 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.88 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.13 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.13 | 1.13 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 13, 2026 USL League One
Portland Hearts of Pine vs Chattanooga Red Wolves
1:2
Nov 1, 2025 USL League One
Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Portland Hearts of Pine
0:1
Sep 13, 2025 USL League One
Portland Hearts of Pine vs Chattanooga Red Wolves
1:1
Jun 7, 2025 USL League One
Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Portland Hearts of Pine
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Portland Hearts of Pine Compare
Top Goalscorer Gonzalez D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Chattanooga Red Wolves Compare
Top Goalscorer Hernandez P.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Portland Hearts of Pine 30 / 100
Chattanooga Red Wolves 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Portland Hearts of Pine Chattanooga Red Wolves
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CHA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Portland Hearts of Pine found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).
Chattanooga Red Wolves let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.25 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Portland Hearts of Pine remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Portland Hearts of Pine VS Chattanooga Red Wolves
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Portland Hearts of Pine
(Home) 26 Jul
Portland Hearts of Pine
1 : 2 Sarasota Paradise
22 Jul
Portland Hearts of Pine
1 : 2 Union Omaha
18 Jul
Athletic Club Boise
2 : 1 Portland Hearts of Pine
11 Jul
Portland Hearts of Pine
2 : 1 New York Cosmos
03 Jul
FC Naples
2 : 3 Portland Hearts of Pine
Page 1 of 6
26 Jul
Portland Hearts of Pine
1 : 2 Sarasota Paradise
22 Jul
Portland Hearts of Pine
1 : 2 Union Omaha
11 Jul
Portland Hearts of Pine
2 : 1 New York Cosmos
24 Jun
Portland Hearts of Pine
5 : 1 Richmond Kickers
13 Jun
Portland Hearts of Pine
1 : 2 Chattanooga Red Wolves
Page 1 of 3
Chattanooga Red Wolves
(Away) 25 Jul
Chattanooga Red Wolves
1 : 0 One Knoxville
18 Jul
Charlotte Independence
2 : 4 Chattanooga Red Wolves
15 Jul
Chattanooga Red Wolves
1 : 0 AV Alta FC
12 Jul
San Antonio FC
2 : 0 Chattanooga Red Wolves
04 Jul
Corpus Christi FC
2 : 1 Chattanooga Red Wolves
Page 1 of 6
18 Jul
Charlotte Independence
2 : 4 Chattanooga Red Wolves
12 Jul
San Antonio FC
2 : 0 Chattanooga Red Wolves
04 Jul
Corpus Christi FC
2 : 1 Chattanooga Red Wolves
13 Jun
Portland Hearts of Pine
1 : 2 Chattanooga Red Wolves
10 Jun
One Knoxville
2 : 1 Chattanooga Red Wolves
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Omaha | 18 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 29:21 | 35 |
| 2 | Charlotte Independence | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 39:26 | 33 |
| 3 | One Knoxville | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 30:17 | 33 |
| 4 | Spokane Velocity | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 25:22 | 32 |
| 5 | Athletic Club Boise | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 27:25 | 30 |
| 6 | Forward Madison | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 29:15 | 29 |
| 7 | AV Alta FC | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 26:21 | 29 |
| 8 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 15 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 28:17 | 28 |
| 9 | Fort Wayne | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 25:17 | 27 |
| 10 | Corpus Christi FC | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 21:26 | 22 |
| 11 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 26:28 | 20 |
| 12 | Westchester SC | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 28:25 | 19 |
| 13 | Sarasota Paradise | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 17:28 | 18 |
| 14 | FC Naples | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 19:30 | 17 |
| 15 | Greenville Triumph | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 14:25 | 14 |
| 16 | Richmond Kickers | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 13:33 | 12 |
| 17 | New York Cosmos | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 18:38 | 11 |
Promotion - USL League One (Play Offs)
