Sport Picks
Portland Hearts of Pine vs FC Naples
USA
USL League One Fitzpatrick Stadium, Portland, ME 
Match Events
36'
36'
Wright O.
Assist: Drack J.
44'
44'
Barbosa D.
46'
46'
Sub
Osorio J. In: Torrellas M.
Out: Osorio J.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this USL League One matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
60%
22%
18%
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Portland Hearts of Pine
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
82%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Portland Hearts of Pine lately — more wins on the board than FC Naples.
- 60% — that's where the model lands on Portland Hearts of Pine taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Portland Hearts of Pine Clean Sheet 68%
FC Naples Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Portland Hearts of Pine | FC Naples |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 27 |
| Wins | 9 | 8 |
| Draws | 8 | 3 |
| Losses | 12 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 0.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.63 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.63 | 2.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 3, 2026 USL League One
FC Naples vs Portland Hearts of Pine
2:3
Apr 19, 2026 USL League One
Portland Hearts of Pine vs FC Naples
1:1
Sep 21, 2025 USL League One
Portland Hearts of Pine vs FC Naples
1:0
May 17, 2025 USL League One
Portland Hearts of Pine vs FC Naples
2:1
Mar 29, 2025 USL League One
FC Naples vs Portland Hearts of Pine
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Portland Hearts of Pine Compare
Top Goalscorer Wright O.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
FC Naples Compare
Top Goalscorer Glasser M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Portland Hearts of Pine 68 / 100
FC Naples 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Portland Hearts of Pine FC Naples
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick POR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Portland Hearts of Pine's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
FC Naples's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.
FC Naples let in goals in 74% of their last 27 matches.
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Portland Hearts of Pine VS FC Naples
2 Goals Scored 0.75
2.63 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Portland Hearts of Pine
(Home) 29 Jul
Sarasota Paradise
2 : 2 Portland Hearts of Pine
26 Jul
Portland Hearts of Pine
1 : 2 Sarasota Paradise
22 Jul
Portland Hearts of Pine
1 : 2 Union Omaha
18 Jul
Athletic Club Boise
2 : 1 Portland Hearts of Pine
11 Jul
Portland Hearts of Pine
2 : 1 New York Cosmos
Page 1 of 6
26 Jul
Portland Hearts of Pine
1 : 2 Sarasota Paradise
22 Jul
Portland Hearts of Pine
1 : 2 Union Omaha
11 Jul
Portland Hearts of Pine
2 : 1 New York Cosmos
24 Jun
Portland Hearts of Pine
5 : 1 Richmond Kickers
13 Jun
Portland Hearts of Pine
1 : 2 Chattanooga Red Wolves
Page 1 of 3
FC Naples
(Away) 25 Jul
Forward Madison
3 : 1 FC Naples
11 Jul
Tampa Bay
2 : 0 FC Naples
08 Jul
New York Cosmos
1 : 0 FC Naples
03 Jul
FC Naples
2 : 3 Portland Hearts of Pine
20 Jun
Chattanooga Red Wolves
1 : 0 FC Naples
Page 1 of 6
25 Jul
Forward Madison
3 : 1 FC Naples
11 Jul
Tampa Bay
2 : 0 FC Naples
08 Jul
New York Cosmos
1 : 0 FC Naples
20 Jun
Chattanooga Red Wolves
1 : 0 FC Naples
13 Jun
Charlotte Independence
4 : 3 FC Naples
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Omaha | 18 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 29:21 | 35 |
| 2 | Charlotte Independence | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 39:26 | 33 |
| 3 | One Knoxville | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 30:17 | 33 |
| 4 | Forward Madison | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 34:17 | 32 |
| 5 | Spokane Velocity | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 25:22 | 32 |
| 6 | Athletic Club Boise | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 29:28 | 30 |
| 7 | AV Alta FC | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 26:21 | 29 |
| 8 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 16 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 30:22 | 28 |
| 9 | Fort Wayne | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 25:17 | 27 |
| 10 | Corpus Christi FC | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 21:26 | 22 |
| 11 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 26:28 | 20 |
| 12 | Westchester SC | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 28:25 | 19 |
| 13 | Sarasota Paradise | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 17:28 | 18 |
| 14 | Greenville Triumph | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 17:27 | 17 |
| 15 | FC Naples | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 19:30 | 17 |
| 16 | Richmond Kickers | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 13:33 | 12 |
| 17 | New York Cosmos | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 18:38 | 11 |
Promotion - USL League One (Play Offs)
