Sport Picks
Portland Hearts of Pine vs Union Omaha - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
USL League One Fitzpatrick Stadium, Portland, ME 
Match Events
10'
10'
Gonzalez D.
Assist: Camara A.
16'
16'
Gutierrez D.
Assist: Wootton L.
33'
33'
Gabriel Cabral
Assist: Vargas M.
AI Match Summary
The USL League One game between Portland Hearts of Pine and Union Omaha finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Union Omaha.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
24%
20%
56%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Union Omaha
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
56%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Union Omaha come out ahead of Portland Hearts of Pine on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Union Omaha's way, sitting at 70%.
- Regular USL League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 82.2%
Portland Hearts of Pine Clean Sheet 10%
Union Omaha Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Portland Hearts of Pine | Union Omaha |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 29 |
| Wins | 7 | 17 |
| Draws | 9 | 4 |
| Losses | 15 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.48 | 1.86 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.06 | 1.34 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 22, 2026 USL League One
Portland Hearts of Pine vs Union Omaha
1:2
May 10, 2026 USL League One
Union Omaha vs Portland Hearts of Pine
2:2
Oct 1, 2025 USL League One
Union Omaha vs Portland Hearts of Pine
1:0
Jun 15, 2025 USL League One
Portland Hearts of Pine vs Union Omaha
3:1
May 11, 2025 USL League One
Union Omaha vs Portland Hearts of Pine
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Portland Hearts of Pine Compare
Top Goalscorer Gonzalez D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Union Omaha Compare
Top Goalscorer Gutierrez D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Gabriel Cabral
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Portland Hearts of Pine 14 / 100
Union Omaha 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Portland Hearts of Pine Union Omaha
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Union Omaha Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Portland Hearts of Pine scored in 90% of their last 31 outings.
Union Omaha let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.
Games between these two average 3.20 goals.
Portland Hearts of Pine has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Portland Hearts of Pine VS Union Omaha
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Portland Hearts of Pine
(Home) 10 Oct
Portland Hearts of Pine
1 : 2 Athletic Club Boise
04 Oct
Spokane Velocity
3 : 3 Portland Hearts of Pine
26 Sept
Portland Hearts of Pine
1 : 4 Sarasota Paradise
19 Sept
Chattanooga Red Wolves
1 : 1 Portland Hearts of Pine
13 Sept
Portland Hearts of Pine
1 : 0 AV Alta FC
Page 1 of 7
10 Oct
Portland Hearts of Pine
1 : 2 Athletic Club Boise
26 Sept
Portland Hearts of Pine
1 : 4 Sarasota Paradise
13 Sept
Portland Hearts of Pine
1 : 0 AV Alta FC
06 Sept
Portland Hearts of Pine
2 : 1 Westchester SC
29 Aug
Portland Hearts of Pine
1 : 4 Fort Wayne
Page 1 of 4
Union Omaha
(Away) 10 Oct
Union Omaha
0 : 1 Fort Wayne
26 Sept
Greenville Triumph
1 : 3 Union Omaha
20 Sept
Union Omaha
2 : 1 One Knoxville
16 Sept
Union Omaha
3 : 1 Spokane Velocity
13 Sept
Corpus Christi FC
1 : 2 Union Omaha
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Greenville Triumph
1 : 3 Union Omaha
13 Sept
Corpus Christi FC
1 : 2 Union Omaha
26 Aug
FC Naples
2 : 0 Union Omaha
08 Aug
Chattanooga Red Wolves
1 : 3 Union Omaha
01 Aug
Fort Wayne
0 : 2 Union Omaha
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charlotte Independence | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 70:42 | 63 |
| 2 | Union Omaha | 30 | 19 | 4 | 7 | 53:32 | 61 |
| 3 | Forward Madison | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 52:30 | 52 |
| 4 | Athletic Club Boise | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 47:40 | 52 |
| 5 | One Knoxville | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 49:36 | 51 |
| 6 | Spokane Velocity | 28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 43:36 | 50 |
| 7 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 50:43 | 46 |
| 8 | Fort Wayne | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 46:37 | 45 |
| 9 | FC Naples | 30 | 12 | 4 | 14 | 35:44 | 40 |
| 10 | Westchester SC | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 51:48 | 36 |
| 11 | Sarasota Paradise | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 42:45 | 36 |
| 12 | Corpus Christi FC | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 33:44 | 36 |
| 13 | AV Alta FC | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 37:44 | 33 |
| 14 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 44:55 | 31 |
| 15 | New York Cosmos | 29 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 36:59 | 25 |
| 16 | Greenville Triumph | 29 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 32:54 | 24 |
| 17 | Richmond Kickers | 30 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 32:63 | 23 |
Promotion - USL League One (Play Offs)
