Sport Picks
Portland Thorns FC W vs Boston Legacy W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
NWSL Women Providence Park, Portland, OR 
Match Events
6'
6'
Reyes R.
22'
22'
Wilson S.
27'
27'
Olivieri B.
AI Match Summary
The NWSL Women game between Portland Thorns FC W and Boston Legacy W finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Boston Legacy W.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
20%
51%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Boston Legacy W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Portland Thorns FC W carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Portland Thorns FC W a 42% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Portland Thorns FC W Clean Sheet 12%
Boston Legacy W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Portland Thorns FC W | Boston Legacy W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 11 |
| Draws | 8 | 5 |
| Losses | 10 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.77 | 1.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.52 | 1.57 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.13 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 4, 2026 NWSL Women
Portland Thorns FC W vs Boston Legacy W
2:4
Aug 9, 2026 NWSL Women
Boston Legacy W vs Portland Thorns FC W
3:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Portland Thorns FC W Compare
Top Goalscorer Harvey S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06
Boston Legacy W Compare
Top Goalscorer Amanda Gutierres
2 Goals Assists Leader Cano A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Portland Thorns FC W 40 / 100
Boston Legacy W 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Portland Thorns FC W Boston Legacy W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Portland Thorns FC W found the back of the net in 94% of recent matches (31 games).
Boston Legacy W has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.
These sides typically produce 6.50 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Portland Thorns FC W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Portland Thorns FC W VS Boston Legacy W
1.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Portland Thorns FC W
(Home) 04 Oct
Portland Thorns FC W
2 : 4 Boston Legacy W
27 Sept
Portland Thorns FC W
1 : 1 Houston Dash W
19 Sept
Orlando Pride W
1 : 4 Portland Thorns FC W
13 Sept
Portland Thorns FC W
1 : 1 Chicago Stars W
06 Sept
Portland Thorns FC W
1 : 2 Washington Spirit W
Page 1 of 7
04 Oct
Portland Thorns FC W
2 : 4 Boston Legacy W
27 Sept
Portland Thorns FC W
1 : 1 Houston Dash W
13 Sept
Portland Thorns FC W
1 : 1 Chicago Stars W
06 Sept
Portland Thorns FC W
1 : 2 Washington Spirit W
23 Aug
Portland Thorns FC W
1 : 0 Denver Summit W
Page 1 of 4
Boston Legacy W
(Away) 04 Oct
Portland Thorns FC W
2 : 4 Boston Legacy W
26 Sept
Seattle Reign W
2 : 0 Boston Legacy W
20 Sept
Boston Legacy W
1 : 2 Houston Dash W
13 Sept
Washington Spirit W
0 : 3 Boston Legacy W
05 Sept
Utah Royals W
1 : 2 Boston Legacy W
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Portland Thorns FC W
2 : 4 Boston Legacy W
26 Sept
Seattle Reign W
2 : 0 Boston Legacy W
13 Sept
Washington Spirit W
0 : 3 Boston Legacy W
05 Sept
Utah Royals W
1 : 2 Boston Legacy W
22 Aug
North Carolina Courage W
2 : 1 Boston Legacy W
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gotham FC W | 27 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 35:21 | 55 |
| 2 | San Diego Wave W | 27 | 16 | 3 | 8 | 40:28 | 51 |
| 3 | Washington Spirit W | 27 | 15 | 4 | 8 | 39:26 | 49 |
| 4 | Utah Royals W | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 44:35 | 46 |
| 5 | Kansas City Current W | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 48:38 | 44 |
| 6 | Angel City W | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 45:29 | 43 |
| 7 | Portland Thorns FC W | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 45:39 | 43 |
| 8 | North Carolina Courage W | 27 | 13 | 3 | 11 | 50:39 | 42 |
| 9 | Seattle Reign W | 27 | 12 | 4 | 11 | 33:32 | 40 |
| 10 | Denver Summit W | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 45:37 | 38 |
| 11 | Orlando Pride W | 27 | 10 | 3 | 14 | 36:43 | 33 |
| 12 | Houston Dash W | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 34:39 | 30 |
| 13 | Boston Legacy W | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 36:46 | 29 |
| 14 | Bay FC W | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 28:42 | 26 |
| 15 | Racing Louisville W | 27 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 36:52 | 24 |
| 16 | Chicago Stars W | 27 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 15:63 | 17 |
Promotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs)
