Sport Picks
Portland Thorns FC W vs Houston Dash W
USA
NWSL Women 2025 Providence Park, Portland, OR 
Match Events
3'
3'
Castellanos D.
Assist: Fleming J.
35'
35'
Fleming J.
46'
46'
Sub
Alozie M. In: Heilferty A.
Out: Alozie M.
AI Match Summary
Portland Thorns FC W in this NWSL Women 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Portland Thorns FC W.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
39%
31%
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ Medium Confidence
- Portland Thorns FC W have won more games recently than Houston Dash W.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Portland Thorns FC W have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Portland Thorns FC W Clean Sheet 17%
Houston Dash W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Portland Thorns FC W | Houston Dash W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 8 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 10 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.63 | 2.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 21, 2026 Club Friendly Women
Houston Dash W vs Portland Thorns FC W
1:1
Nov 2, 2025 NWSL Women
Portland Thorns FC W vs Houston Dash W
2:0
May 17, 2025 NWSL Women
Houston Dash W vs Portland Thorns FC W
1:4
May 18, 2024 NWSL Women
Houston Dash W vs Portland Thorns FC W
0:2
Apr 21, 2024 NWSL Women
Portland Thorns FC W vs Houston Dash W
4:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Portland Thorns FC W Compare
Top Goalscorer Castellanos D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Fleming J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Houston Dash W Compare
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Portland Thorns FC W 30 / 100
Houston Dash W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Portland Thorns FC W Houston Dash W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick POR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Portland Thorns FC W found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).
Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.
Houston Dash W has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.
Recent resilience: Portland Thorns FC W stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Portland Thorns FC W VS Houston Dash W
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Portland Thorns FC W
(Home) 25 Jul
Portland Thorns FC W
2 : 2 Gotham FC W
18 Jul
Denver Summit W
2 : 1 Portland Thorns FC W
12 Jul
Seattle Reign W
2 : 0 Portland Thorns FC W
05 Jul
Portland Thorns FC W
4 : 0 Racing Louisville W
28 Jun
Portland Thorns FC W
3 : 4 San Diego Wave W
Page 1 of 6
25 Jul
Portland Thorns FC W
2 : 2 Gotham FC W
05 Jul
Portland Thorns FC W
4 : 0 Racing Louisville W
28 Jun
Portland Thorns FC W
3 : 4 San Diego Wave W
30 May
Portland Thorns FC W
2 : 2 Utah Royals W
21 May
Portland Thorns FC W
2 : 0 Bay FC W
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Houston Dash W
(Away) 25 Jul
Houston Dash W
1 : 0 Bay FC W
19 Jul
Racing Louisville W
1 : 1 Houston Dash W
12 Jul
Denver Summit W
2 : 2 Houston Dash W
04 Jul
Washington Spirit W
2 : 1 Houston Dash W
31 May
Gotham FC W
1 : 0 Houston Dash W
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19 Jul
Racing Louisville W
1 : 1 Houston Dash W
12 Jul
Denver Summit W
2 : 2 Houston Dash W
04 Jul
Washington Spirit W
2 : 1 Houston Dash W
31 May
Gotham FC W
1 : 0 Houston Dash W
16 May
Kansas City Current W
3 : 0 Houston Dash W
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kansas City Current W | 26 | 21 | 2 | 3 | 49:13 | 65 |
| 2 | Washington Spirit W | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 42:33 | 44 |
| 3 | Portland Thorns FC W | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 36:29 | 40 |
| 4 | Orlando Pride W | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 33:27 | 40 |
| 5 | Seattle Reign W | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 32:29 | 39 |
| 6 | San Diego Wave W | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 41:34 | 37 |
| 7 | Racing Louisville W | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 35:38 | 37 |
| 8 | Gotham FC W | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 35:25 | 36 |
| 9 | North Carolina Courage W | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 37:39 | 35 |
| 10 | Houston Dash W | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 27:39 | 30 |
| 11 | Angel City W | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 31:41 | 27 |
| 12 | Utah Royals W | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 28:42 | 25 |
| 13 | Bay FC W | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26:41 | 20 |
| 14 | Chicago Stars W | 26 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 32:54 | 20 |
Promotion - NWSL Women 2025 (Play Offs)