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Portland Thorns FC W vs Seattle Reign W

USA USA

NWSL Women Providence Park
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Match Events

8'
Bogere C.
9'
Bogere C.
9'
Bogere C.

AI Match Summary

Portland Thorns FC W in this NWSL Women matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Portland Thorns FC W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Portland Thorns FC W
39%
Draws
31%
Seattle Reign W
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Portland Thorns FC W lately — more wins on the board than Seattle Reign W.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Portland Thorns FC W Clean Sheet 68%
Seattle Reign W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portland Thorns FC W Seattle Reign W
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 15 11
Draws 7 8
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.5 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 NWSL Women
Seattle Reign W vs Portland Thorns FC W
2:0
Mar 21, 2026 NWSL Women
Portland Thorns FC W vs Seattle Reign W
2:0
Aug 10, 2025 NWSL Women
Portland Thorns FC W vs Seattle Reign W
4:2
Apr 19, 2025 NWSL Women
Seattle Reign W vs Portland Thorns FC W
1:0
Aug 1, 2024 NWSL x Liga MX Women Summer Cup
Portland Thorns FC W vs Seattle Reign W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portland Thorns FC W Compare

Top Goalscorer Tordin P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Turner R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Seattle Reign W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portland Thorns FC W 41 / 100
Seattle Reign W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portland Thorns FC W Seattle Reign W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Portland Thorns FC W scored in 84% of their last 32 outings.

Seattle Reign W let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Seattle Reign W's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Portland Thorns FC W VS Seattle Reign W
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1San Diego Wave W1591521:1528
2Washington Spirit W1483322:1127
3Portland Thorns FC W1583424:1627
4Gotham FC W1483316:827
5Utah Royals W1473421:1624
6Kansas City Current W1480621:2024
7North Carolina Courage W1363420:1621
8Orlando Pride W1562721:2020
9Angel City W1361620:1419
10Seattle Reign W1352613:1617
11Denver Summit W1344519:1816
12Boston Legacy W1544716:2116
13Houston Dash W1443717:2315
14Bay FC W1343613:1915
15Chicago Stars W1440108:2812
16Racing Louisville W13211015:267