Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Portland Timbers 2 vs San Jose Earthquakes II

USA USA

MLS Next Pro Providence Park, Portland, OR
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Donnery J.
Assist: Spivey K.
66' Event
Cervantes D.
(Penalty)
68'
Floriani M.

AI Match Summary

Portland Timbers 2 in this MLS Next Pro matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Portland Timbers 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Portland Timbers 2
11%
Draws
9%
San Jose Earthquakes II
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Portland Timbers 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Portland Timbers 2 have won more games recently than San Jose Earthquakes II.
  • Portland Timbers 2 are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular MLS Next Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Portland Timbers 2 Clean Sheet 16%
San Jose Earthquakes II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portland Timbers 2 San Jose Earthquakes II
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 18 14
Draws 0 0
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.25 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Portland Timbers 2 vs San Jose Earthquakes II
2:3
May 18, 2026 MLS Next Pro
San Jose Earthquakes II vs Portland Timbers 2
0:1
Mar 1, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Portland Timbers 2 vs San Jose Earthquakes II
2:1
Sep 7, 2025 MLS Next Pro
San Jose Earthquakes II vs Portland Timbers 2
3:2
May 5, 2025 MLS Next Pro
San Jose Earthquakes II vs Portland Timbers 2
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portland Timbers 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kissel M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

San Jose Earthquakes II Compare

Top Goalscorer Donnery J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portland Timbers 2 75 / 100
San Jose Earthquakes II 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portland Timbers 2 San Jose Earthquakes II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Portland Timbers 2 scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

San Jose Earthquakes II's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Portland Timbers 2 has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Portland Timbers 2 VS San Jose Earthquakes II
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Portland Timbers 2

(Home)
01 Aug
Minnesota United 2
1 : 2
Portland Timbers 2
26 Jul
Portland Timbers 2
1 : 0
Real Monarchs
18 Jul
St. Louis City 2
1 : 2
Portland Timbers 2
12 Jul
Los Angeles FC 2
0 : 1
Portland Timbers 2
06 Jul
Tacoma Defiance
0 : 2
Portland Timbers 2
Page 1 of 6

San Jose Earthquakes II

(Away)
26 Jul
Ventura County
3 : 0
San Jose Earthquakes II
19 Jul
San Jose Earthquakes II
0 : 1
North Texas
13 Jul
San Jose Earthquakes II
0 : 1
Tacoma Defiance
08 Jul
San Jose Earthquakes II
6 : 1
Sporting Kansas City II
27 Jun
Portland Timbers 2
2 : 3
San Jose Earthquakes II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Columbus Crew 220140636:3139
2New England Revolution II19120728:2236
3New York Red Bulls II201001040:3232
4CT United FC19110835:3331
5New York City II1890929:2928
6Philadelphia Union II20901121:2726
7Toronto FC II20801231:3825
8FC Cincinnati 219601319:3616
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Crown Legacy19140547:2740
2Chattanooga21140740:3040
3Orlando City B20120840:3435
4Atlanta United 2201001044:3334
5Chicago Fire II19100934:2830
6Huntsville City19901032:3528
7Carolina Core22701530:4023
8Inter Miami II19201716:478
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Portland Timbers 221140728:2443
2Ventura County21130843:2838
3Los Angeles FC 220110933:3234
4Tacoma Defiance201001025:2730
5San Jose Earthquakes II1890937:2328
6Real Monarchs201001031:3626
7Vancouver Whitecaps 221701426:4519
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Austin FC II19140541:1744
2Houston Dynamo 219150442:1942
3St. Louis City 2201001031:3330
4Minnesota United 2211001129:3429
5North Texas19801130:2926
6Sporting Kansas City II20601427:5219
7Colorado Rapids 221301818:4212
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Crown Legacy19140547:2740
2Chattanooga21140740:3040
3Columbus Crew 220140636:3139
4New England Revolution II19120728:2236
5Orlando City B20120840:3435
6Atlanta United 2201001044:3334
7New York Red Bulls II201001040:3232
8CT United FC19110835:3331
9Chicago Fire II19100934:2830
10New York City II1890929:2928
11Huntsville City19901032:3528
12Philadelphia Union II20901121:2726
13Toronto FC II20801231:3825
14Carolina Core22701530:4023
15FC Cincinnati 219601319:3616
16Inter Miami II19201716:478
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Austin FC II19140541:1744
2Portland Timbers 221140728:2443
3Houston Dynamo 219150442:1942
4Ventura County21130843:2838
5Los Angeles FC 220110933:3234
6Tacoma Defiance201001025:2730
7St. Louis City 2201001031:3330
8Minnesota United 2211001129:3429
9San Jose Earthquakes II1890937:2328
10North Texas19801130:2926
11Real Monarchs201001031:3626
12Sporting Kansas City II20601427:5219
13Vancouver Whitecaps 221701426:4519
14Colorado Rapids 221301818:4212
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)