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Portland Timbers 2 vs Ventura County - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

MLS Next Pro Providence Park, Portland, OR
Mon, Oct 26, 2026
VS
02:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 2-3. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Portland Timbers 2 at 1.52 goals for, 1.17 against; Ventura County at 2.24 for, 1.41 against. Past meetings favor Ventura County slightly — 1-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 24, 2026, ending 2:3. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 1.88, favoring Portland Timbers 2. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Portland Timbers 2
15%
Draws
49%
Ventura County
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ventura County

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Ventura County haven't matched Portland Timbers 2's recent run of results.
  • 49% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Portland Timbers 2 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Ventura County, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Ventura County have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Portland Timbers 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Ventura County Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portland Timbers 2 Ventura County
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 20 19
Draws 0 0
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.52 2.24
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 24, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Ventura County vs Portland Timbers 2
2:3
May 10, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Portland Timbers 2 vs Ventura County
3:4
Mar 24, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Portland Timbers 2 vs Ventura County
0:1
Aug 10, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Ventura County vs Portland Timbers 2
3:2
Jun 12, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Portland Timbers 2 vs Ventura County
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portland Timbers 2 30 / 100
Ventura County 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portland Timbers 2 Ventura County

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ventura County Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portland Timbers 2 scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 4.60 goals as a typical output.

Ventura County's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Portland Timbers 2 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Portland Timbers 2 VS Ventura County
1.75 Goals Scored 3
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Portland Timbers 2

(Home)
17 Oct
Portland Timbers 2
2 : 0
St. Louis City 2
20 Sept
Tacoma Defiance
2 : 1
Portland Timbers 2
14 Sept
Portland Timbers 2
2 : 1
St. Louis City 2
07 Sept
Portland Timbers 2
0 : 1
Vancouver Whitecaps 2
30 Aug
Portland Timbers 2
2 : 1
Austin FC II
Page 1 of 6

Ventura County

(Away)
17 Oct
Ventura County
3 : 2
Minnesota United 2
20 Sept
Real Monarchs
2 : 1
Ventura County
14 Sept
Ventura County
3 : 0
Tacoma Defiance
10 Sept
San Jose Earthquakes II
1 : 3
Ventura County
06 Sept
Los Angeles FC 2
1 : 2
Ventura County
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Crown Legacy 2
New York Red Bulls II 1
Columbus Crew 2 2
New England Revolution II 1
Chattanooga 3
New York City II 1
Atlanta United 2 0
CT United FC 1
Austin FC II 2
San Jose Earthquakes II 1
Houston Dynamo 2 2
Los Angeles FC 2 3
Portland Timbers 2 2
St. Louis City 2 0
Ventura County 3
Minnesota United 2 2
Quarter-finals
Crown Legacy -
Columbus Crew 2 -
Chattanooga -
CT United FC -
Austin FC II -
Los Angeles FC 2 -
Portland Timbers 2 -
Ventura County -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -