Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Portland Timbers vs FC Dallas

USA USA

MLS Providence Park
Thu, Jul 23, 2026
VS
02:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Portland Timbers host FC Dallas in the MLS. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Portland Timbers at 1.75 goals for, 1.63 against; FC Dallas at 1.75 for, 1.5 against. Past meetings favor FC Dallas slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 28, 2025, ending 2:2. The numbers (1.63 xG vs 1.69) point toward FC Dallas. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Portland Timbers
44%
Draws
20%
FC Dallas
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Dallas have won more games recently than Portland Timbers.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Portland Timbers Clean Sheet 13%
FC Dallas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portland Timbers FC Dallas
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 15
Draws 6 7
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1.75 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 28, 2025 MLS
Portland Timbers vs FC Dallas
2:2
Aug 10, 2025 MLS
FC Dallas vs Portland Timbers
2:0
Oct 6, 2024 MLS
Portland Timbers vs FC Dallas
0:0
Jul 5, 2024 MLS
FC Dallas vs Portland Timbers
3:2
Jun 12, 2023 MLS
Portland Timbers vs FC Dallas
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portland Timbers 35 / 100
FC Dallas 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portland Timbers FC Dallas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DAL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portland Timbers's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

FC Dallas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Recent resilience: Portland Timbers stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Portland Timbers VS FC Dallas
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps14102234:1232
2San Jose Earthquakes15102334:1532
3Real Salt Lake1482426:1926
4FC Dallas1574430:2225
5Los Angeles FC1573524:1724
6Seattle Sounders1373317:1124
7Houston Dynamo1471619:2322
8Minnesota United1564518:2222
9Los Angeles Galaxy1555522:2220
10San Diego FC1545630:2717
11Colorado Rapids1551925:2416
12St. Louis City1444616:2016
13Portland Timbers1442822:2814
14Austin FC1535719:3114
15Sporting Kansas City1432914:3611
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nashville SC14103131:1133
2Inter Miami1594239:2831
3Chicago Fire1482427:1626
4New England Revolution1481522:1825
5New York Red Bulls1564525:3222
6Charlotte FC1563624:2321
7FC Cincinnati1555536:3720
8New York City1554625:2119
9DC United1546521:2518
10Columbus Crew1544721:2316
11CF Montreal1442822:3114
12Orlando City1542923:4414
13Toronto FC1435622:2914
14Atlanta United1432914:2311
15Philadelphia Union15141018:307