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Portland Timbers vs Charlotte FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

MLS Providence Park, Portland, OR
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
02:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Portland Timbers host Charlotte FC in the MLS. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Charlotte FC have shipped 1.39 goals a game lately, while Portland Timbers have conceded 1.82 and scored 1.93. Past meetings favor Charlotte FC slightly — 0-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 15, 2025, ending 2:0. xG projections (1.56 - 1.94) back Charlotte FC to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Portland Timbers
20%
Draws
70%
Charlotte FC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Charlotte FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Portland Timbers haven't matched Charlotte FC's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Portland Timbers Clean Sheet 10%
Charlotte FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portland Timbers Charlotte FC
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 10 15
Draws 6 6
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.93 1.94
Goals Conceded 1.82 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2025 Club Friendly
Charlotte FC vs Portland Timbers
2:0
May 4, 2024 MLS
Charlotte FC vs Portland Timbers
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portland Timbers 30 / 100
Charlotte FC 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portland Timbers Charlotte FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Charlotte FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portland Timbers found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Charlotte FC conceded in 77% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Portland Timbers went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Portland Timbers VS Charlotte FC
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Portland Timbers

(Home)
15 Oct
Los Angeles Galaxy
2 : 0
Portland Timbers
11 Oct
Sporting Kansas City
3 : 3
Portland Timbers
27 Sept
San Jose Earthquakes
3 : 1
Portland Timbers
20 Sept
Portland Timbers
0 : 1
Atlanta United
13 Sept
FC Dallas
2 : 1
Portland Timbers
Page 1 of 6

Charlotte FC

(Away)
17 Oct
Philadelphia Union
2 : 2
Charlotte FC
14 Oct
Columbus Crew
3 : 1
Charlotte FC
10 Oct
Charlotte FC
3 : 2
FC Dallas
26 Sept
Charlotte FC
0 : 1
Chicago Fire
19 Sept
DC United
1 : 2
Charlotte FC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 29 15 7 7 61:30 52
2 St. Louis City 29 14 9 6 54:38 51
3 FC Dallas 29 14 8 7 53:45 50
4 San Jose Earthquakes 29 13 8 8 51:41 47
5 Houston Dynamo 29 13 7 9 39:37 46
6 Los Angeles FC 30 12 9 9 47:32 45
7 Seattle Sounders 29 11 8 10 38:36 41
8 Los Angeles Galaxy 30 10 9 11 41:50 39
9 Colorado Rapids 29 11 5 13 41:41 38
10 Portland Timbers 29 9 6 14 51:56 33
11 Real Salt Lake 29 9 6 14 42:47 33
12 San Diego FC 29 8 9 12 51:54 33
13 Minnesota United 29 7 10 12 44:53 31
14 Austin FC 29 7 10 12 37:54 31
15 Sporting Kansas City 29 6 4 19 35:72 22
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 29 20 6 3 63:22 66
2 Inter Miami 29 14 10 5 70:50 52
3 New England Revolution 29 15 4 10 48:41 49
4 Chicago Fire 29 14 6 9 52:43 48
5 Charlotte FC 29 13 7 9 51:43 46
6 Philadelphia Union 29 13 6 10 59:46 45
7 Orlando City 29 11 5 13 54:69 38
8 New York Red Bulls 29 10 6 13 39:54 36
9 FC Cincinnati 28 9 9 10 60:68 36
10 New York City 29 8 9 12 42:40 33
11 Toronto FC 29 7 12 10 44:55 33
12 DC United 28 7 12 9 36:47 33
13 Columbus Crew 29 9 5 15 44:47 32
14 Atlanta United 29 8 6 15 36:48 30
15 CF Montreal 29 6 6 17 35:59 24
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)